{
 "schema_version": 1,
 "title": "2026 U.S. midterm elections: Polymarket and Kalshi prices side by side",
 "license": "none",
 "data_notice": "Contains third-party market prices from Polymarket and Kalshi, shown for reference. These prices are not licensed by PolyKal.",
 "attribution": "PolyKal (polykal.net)",
 "source_page": "https://polykal.net/midterms/",
 "about": "https://polykal.net/data/",
 "as_of": "2026-10-13T02:27:13Z",
 "frozen": false,
 "frozen_at": null,
 "disclaimer": "Read-only comparison of publicly displayed prices. Not advice. Does not report election results.",
 "fields": [
  {
   "name": "race_id",
   "description": "PolyKal race id (stable)."
  },
  {
   "name": "state",
   "description": ""
  },
  {
   "name": "office",
   "description": "senate | governor | control | related"
  },
  {
   "name": "special_election",
   "description": "true for special elections (as named in the platforms' rules)."
  },
  {
   "name": "polymarket_slug",
   "description": ""
  },
  {
   "name": "kalshi_ticker",
   "description": ""
  },
  {
   "name": "option",
   "description": "Outcome as matched across both platforms (candidate, party or combination)."
  },
  {
   "name": "party",
   "description": "D / R / I where applicable, else empty."
  },
  {
   "name": "polymarket_prob",
   "description": "Polymarket displayed price (0–1), rounded as shown on polykal.net (one decimal of a percent)."
  },
  {
   "name": "kalshi_prob",
   "description": "Kalshi price (0–1): midpoint of best bid and ask when the spread is 8¢ or less, otherwise best bid; last trade only if there is no bid. Rounded as shown on polykal.net."
  },
  {
   "name": "gap_pp",
   "description": "Absolute difference of the two displayed percentages, in percentage points. Empty when the two platforms' contracts are not directly comparable."
  },
  {
   "name": "polymarket_volume_usd",
   "description": "Polymarket 24-hour volume for the whole event, US dollars."
  },
  {
   "name": "kalshi_volume_contracts",
   "description": "Kalshi 24-hour volume for the whole event, in contracts (not US dollars)."
  },
  {
   "name": "verified",
   "description": "checked = both markets and their rule text were checked by hand; auto = matched automatically."
  },
  {
   "name": "frozen",
   "description": "true after the pre-results freeze (last price captured before polls closed). This file does not report results."
  },
  {
   "name": "data_as_of_utc",
   "description": "Time of the snapshot these values come from (UTC)."
  },
  {
   "name": "source_urls",
   "description": "Each platform's public market page, separated by a space."
  }
 ],
 "rows": [
  {
   "race_id": "control-senate",
   "state": "",
   "office": "control",
   "special_election": false,
   "polymarket_slug": "which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026",
   "kalshi_ticker": "CONTROLS-2026",
   "option": "Democratic Party",
   "party": "D",
   "polymarket_prob": 0.635,
   "kalshi_prob": 0.615,
   "gap_pp": 2.0,
   "polymarket_volume_usd": 45322.52,
   "kalshi_volume_contracts": 194185.57,
   "verified": "auto",
   "frozen": false,
   "data_as_of_utc": "2026-10-13T02:25:01Z",
   "source_urls": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026 https://kalshi.com/markets/controls"
  },
  {
   "race_id": "control-senate",
   "state": "",
   "office": "control",
   "special_election": false,
   "polymarket_slug": "which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026",
   "kalshi_ticker": "CONTROLS-2026",
   "option": "Republican Party",
   "party": "R",
   "polymarket_prob": 0.375,
   "kalshi_prob": 0.385,
   "gap_pp": 1.0,
   "polymarket_volume_usd": 45322.52,
   "kalshi_volume_contracts": 194185.57,
   "verified": "auto",
   "frozen": false,
   "data_as_of_utc": "2026-10-13T02:25:01Z",
   "source_urls": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026 https://kalshi.com/markets/controls"
  },
  {
   "race_id": "control-house",
   "state": "",
   "office": "control",
   "special_election": false,
   "polymarket_slug": "which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026",
   "kalshi_ticker": "CONTROLH-2026",
   "option": "Democratic Party",
   "party": "D",
   "polymarket_prob": 0.905,
   "kalshi_prob": 0.895,
   "gap_pp": 1.0,
   "polymarket_volume_usd": 146866.69,
   "kalshi_volume_contracts": 965478.56,
   "verified": "auto",
   "frozen": false,
   "data_as_of_utc": "2026-10-13T02:25:03Z",
   "source_urls": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026 https://kalshi.com/markets/controlh"
  },
  {
   "race_id": "control-house",
   "state": "",
   "office": "control",
   "special_election": false,
   "polymarket_slug": "which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026",
   "kalshi_ticker": "CONTROLH-2026",
   "option": "Republican Party",
   "party": "R",
   "polymarket_prob": 0.095,
   "kalshi_prob": 0.105,
   "gap_pp": 1.0,
   "polymarket_volume_usd": 146866.69,
   "kalshi_volume_contracts": 965478.56,
   "verified": "auto",
   "frozen": false,
   "data_as_of_utc": "2026-10-13T02:25:03Z",
   "source_urls": "https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026 https://kalshi.com/markets/controlh"
  },
  {
   "race_id": "senate-alabama",
   "state": "Alabama",
   "office": "senate",
   "special_election": false,
   "polymarket_slug": "alabama-senate-election-winner-154",
   "kalshi_ticker": "SENATEAL-26",
   "option": "Barry Moore",
   "party": "R",
   "polymarket_prob": 0.973,
   "kalshi_prob": 0.972,
   "gap_pp": 0.1,
   "polymarket_volume_usd": 1.02,
   "kalshi_volume_contracts": 127.5,
   "verified": "auto",
   "frozen": false,
   "data_as_of_utc": "2026-10-13T02:25:05Z",
   "source_urls": "https://polymarket.com/event/alabama-senate-election-winner-154 https://kalshi.com/markets/senateal"
  },
  {
   "race_id": "senate-alabama",
   "state": "Alabama",
   "office": "senate",
   "special_election": false,
   "polymarket_slug": "alabama-senate-election-winner-154",
   "kalshi_ticker": "SENATEAL-26",
   "option": "Everett Wess",
   "party": "D",
   "polymarket_prob": 0.027,
   "kalshi_prob": 0.031,
   "gap_pp": 0.4,
   "polymarket_volume_usd": 1.02,
   "kalshi_volume_contracts": 127.5,
   "verified": "auto",
   "frozen": false,
   "data_as_of_utc": "2026-10-13T02:25:05Z",
   "source_urls": "https://polymarket.com/event/alabama-senate-election-winner-154 https://kalshi.com/markets/senateal"
  },
  {
   "race_id": "senate-alaska",
   "state": "Alaska",
   "office": "senate",
   "special_election": false,
   "polymarket_slug": "alaska-senate-election-winner",
   "kalshi_ticker": "KXAKSENATE-26NOV03",
   "option": "Mary Peltola",
   "party": "",
   "polymarket_prob": 0.725,
   "kalshi_prob": 0.745,
   "gap_pp": 2.0,
   "polymarket_volume_usd": 2395.43,
   "kalshi_volume_contracts": 4892.88,
   "verified": "auto",
   "frozen": false,
   "data_as_of_utc": "2026-10-13T02:25:07Z",
   "source_urls": "https://polymarket.com/event/alaska-senate-election-winner https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaksenate"
  },
  {
   "race_id": "senate-alaska",
   "state": "Alaska",
   "office": "senate",
   "special_election": false,
   "polymarket_slug": "alaska-senate-election-winner",
   "kalshi_ticker": "KXAKSENATE-26NOV03",
   "option": "Sen. Dan Sullivan",
   "party": "",
   "polymarket_prob": 0.285,
   "kalshi_prob": 0.265,
   "gap_pp": 2.0,
   "polymarket_volume_usd": 2395.43,
   "kalshi_volume_contracts": 4892.88,
   "verified": "auto",
   "frozen": false,
   "data_as_of_utc": "2026-10-13T02:25:07Z",
   "source_urls": "https://polymarket.com/event/alaska-senate-election-winner https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaksenate"
  },
  {
   "race_id": "senate-alaska",
   "state": "Alaska",
   "office": "senate",
   "special_election": false,
   "polymarket_slug": "alaska-senate-election-winner",
   "kalshi_ticker": "KXAKSENATE-26NOV03",
   "option": "Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.",
   "party": "",
   "polymarket_prob": 0.001,
   "kalshi_prob": 0.005,
   "gap_pp": 0.4,
   "polymarket_volume_usd": 2395.43,
   "kalshi_volume_contracts": 4892.88,
   "verified": "auto",
   "frozen": false,
   "data_as_of_utc": "2026-10-13T02:25:07Z",
   "source_urls": "https://polymarket.com/event/alaska-senate-election-winner https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaksenate"
  },
  {
   "race_id": "senate-alaska",
   "state": "Alaska",
   "office": "senate",
   "special_election": false,
   "polymarket_slug": "alaska-senate-election-winner",
   "kalshi_ticker": "KXAKSENATE-26NOV03",
   "option": "Ann Diener",
   "party": "",
   "polymarket_prob": 0.001,
   "kalshi_prob": 0.001,
   "gap_pp": 0.0,
   "polymarket_volume_usd": 2395.43,
   "kalshi_volume_contracts": 4892.88,
   "verified": "auto",
   "frozen": false,
   "data_as_of_utc": "2026-10-13T02:25:07Z",
   "source_urls": "https://polymarket.com/event/alaska-senate-election-winner https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaksenate"
  },
  {
   "race_id": "senate-alaska",
   "state": "Alaska",
   "office": "senate",
   "special_election": false,
   "polymarket_slug": "alaska-senate-election-winner",
   "kalshi_ticker": "KXAKSENATE-26NOV03",
   "option": "Richard Grayson",
   "party": "",
   "polymarket_prob": 0.001,
   "kalshi_prob": 0.001,
   "gap_pp": 0.0,
   "polymarket_volume_usd": 2395.43,
   "kalshi_volume_contracts": 4892.88,
   "verified": "auto",
   "frozen": false,
   "data_as_of_utc": "2026-10-13T02:25:07Z",
   "source_urls": "https://polymarket.com/event/alaska-senate-election-winner https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaksenate"
  },
  {
   "race_id": "senate-alaska",
   "state": "Alaska",
   "office": "senate",
   "special_election": false,
   "polymarket_slug": "alaska-senate-election-winner",
   "kalshi_ticker": "KXAKSENATE-26NOV03",
   "option": "Dustin Darden",
   "party": "",
   "polymarket_prob": 0.001,
   "kalshi_prob": null,
   "gap_pp": null,
   "polymarket_volume_usd": 2395.43,
   "kalshi_volume_contracts": 4892.88,
   "verified": "auto",
   "frozen": false,
   "data_as_of_utc": "2026-10-13T02:25:07Z",
   "source_urls": "https://polymarket.com/event/alaska-senate-election-winner https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaksenate"
  },
  {
   "race_id": "senate-alaska",
   "state": "Alaska",
   "office": "senate",
   "special_election": false,
   "polymarket_slug": "alaska-senate-election-winner",
   "kalshi_ticker": "KXAKSENATE-26NOV03",
   "option": "David Leslie",
   "party": "",
   "polymarket_prob": 0.001,
   "kalshi_prob": null,
   "gap_pp": null,
   "polymarket_volume_usd": 2395.43,
   "kalshi_volume_contracts": 4892.88,
   "verified": "auto",
   "frozen": false,
   "data_as_of_utc": "2026-10-13T02:25:07Z",
   "source_urls": "https://polymarket.com/event/alaska-senate-election-winner https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaksenate"
  },
  {
   "race_id": "senate-alaska",
   "state": "Alaska",
   "office": "senate",
   "special_election": false,
   "polymarket_slug": "alaska-senate-election-winner",
   "kalshi_ticker": "KXAKSENATE-26NOV03",
   "option": "Sid Hill",
   "party": "",
   "polymarket_prob": null,
   "kalshi_prob": 0.001,
   "gap_pp": null,
   "polymarket_volume_usd": 2395.43,
   "kalshi_volume_contracts": 4892.88,
   "verified": "auto",
   "frozen": false,
   "data_as_of_utc": "2026-10-13T02:25:07Z",
   "source_urls": "https://polymarket.com/event/alaska-senate-election-winner https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaksenate"
  },
  {
   "race_id": "senate-alaska",
   "state": "Alaska",
   "office": "senate",
   "special_election": false,
   "polymarket_slug": "alaska-senate-election-winner",
   "kalshi_ticker": "KXAKSENATE-26NOV03",
   "option": "Gerald Heikes",
   "party": "",
   "polymarket_prob": null,
   "kalshi_prob": 0.005,
   "gap_pp": null,
   "polymarket_volume_usd": 2395.43,
   "kalshi_volume_contracts": 4892.88,
   "verified": "auto",
   "frozen": false,
   "data_as_of_utc": "2026-10-13T02:25:07Z",
   "source_urls": "https://polymarket.com/event/alaska-senate-election-winner https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaksenate"
  },
  {
   "race_id": "senate-arkansas",
   "state": "Arkansas",
   "office": "senate",
   "special_election": false,
   "polymarket_slug": "arkansas-senate-election-winner",
   "kalshi_ticker": "SENATEAR-26",
   "option": "Tom Cotton",
   "party": "R",
   "polymarket_prob": 0.943,
   "kalshi_prob": 0.943,
   "gap_pp": 0.0,
   "polymarket_volume_usd": 11.06,
   "kalshi_volume_contracts": 3086.81,
   "verified": "auto",
   "frozen": false,
   "data_as_of_utc": "2026-10-13T02:25:11Z",
   "source_urls": "https://polymarket.com/event/arkansas-senate-election-winner https://kalshi.com/markets/senatear"
  },
  {
   "race_id": "senate-arkansas",
   "state": "Arkansas",
   "office": "senate",
   "special_election": false,
   "polymarket_slug": "arkansas-senate-election-winner",
   "kalshi_ticker": "SENATEAR-26",
   "option": "Hallie Shoffner",
   "party": "D",
   "polymarket_prob": 0.058,
   "kalshi_prob": 0.06,
   "gap_pp": 0.2,
   "polymarket_volume_usd": 11.06,
   "kalshi_volume_contracts": 3086.81,
   "verified": "auto",
   "frozen": false,
   "data_as_of_utc": "2026-10-13T02:25:11Z",
   "source_urls": "https://polymarket.com/event/arkansas-senate-election-winner https://kalshi.com/markets/senatear"
  },
  {
   "race_id": "senate-colorado",
   "state": "Colorado",
   "office": "senate",
   "special_election": false,
   "polymarket_slug": "colorado-senate-election-winner",
   "kalshi_ticker": "SENATECO-26",
   "option": "John Hickenlooper",
   "party": "D",
   "polymarket_prob": 0.981,
   "kalshi_prob": 0.984,
   "gap_pp": 0.3,
   "polymarket_volume_usd": 6.01,
   "kalshi_volume_contracts": 5.0,
   "verified": "auto",
   "frozen": false,
   "data_as_of_utc": "2026-10-13T02:25:12Z",
   "source_urls": "https://polymarket.com/event/colorado-senate-election-winner https://kalshi.com/markets/senateco"
  },
  {
   "race_id": "senate-colorado",
   "state": "Colorado",
   "office": "senate",
   "special_election": false,
   "polymarket_slug": "colorado-senate-election-winner",
   "kalshi_ticker": "SENATECO-26",
   "option": "Mark Baisley",
   "party": "R",
   "polymarket_prob": 0.014,
   "kalshi_prob": 0.007,
   "gap_pp": 0.7,
   "polymarket_volume_usd": 6.01,
   "kalshi_volume_contracts": 5.0,
   "verified": "auto",
   "frozen": false,
   "data_as_of_utc": "2026-10-13T02:25:12Z",
   "source_urls": "https://polymarket.com/event/colorado-senate-election-winner https://kalshi.com/markets/senateco"
  },
  {
   "race_id": "senate-delaware",
   "state": "Delaware",
   "office": "senate",
   "special_election": false,
   "polymarket_slug": "delaware-senate-election-winner",
   "kalshi_ticker": "SENATEDE-26",
   "option": "Democrat",
   "party": "D",
   "polymarket_prob": 0.985,
   "kalshi_prob": 0.98,
   "gap_pp": 0.5,
   "polymarket_volume_usd": 61.47,
   "kalshi_volume_contracts": 0,
   "verified": "auto",
   "frozen": false,
   "data_as_of_utc": "2026-10-13T02:25:14Z",
   "source_urls": "https://polymarket.com/event/delaware-senate-election-winner https://kalshi.com/markets/senatede"
  },
  {
   "race_id": "senate-delaware",
   "state": "Delaware",
   "office": "senate",
   "special_election": false,
   "polymarket_slug": "delaware-senate-election-winner",
   "kalshi_ticker": "SENATEDE-26",
   "option": "Republican",
   "party": "R",
   "polymarket_prob": 0.017,
   "kalshi_prob": 0.021,
   "gap_pp": 0.4,
   "polymarket_volume_usd": 61.47,
   "kalshi_volume_contracts": 0,
   "verified": "auto",
   "frozen": false,
   "data_as_of_utc": "2026-10-13T02:25:14Z",
   "source_urls": "https://polymarket.com/event/delaware-senate-election-winner https://kalshi.com/markets/senatede"
  },
  {
   "race_id": "senate-florida",
   "state": "Florida",
   "office": "senate",
   "special_election": true,
   "polymarket_slug": "florida-senate-election-winner",
   "kalshi_ticker": "SENATEFLS-26",
   "option": "Ashley Moody",
   "party": "R",
   "polymarket_prob": 0.905,
   "kalshi_prob": 0.908,
   "gap_pp": 0.3,
   "polymarket_volume_usd": 1612.54,
   "kalshi_volume_contracts": 11397.88,
   "verified": "checked",
   "frozen": false,
   "data_as_of_utc": "2026-10-13T02:25:16Z",
   "source_urls": "https://polymarket.com/event/florida-senate-election-winner https://kalshi.com/markets/senatefls"
  },
  {
   "race_id": "senate-florida",
   "state": "Florida",
   "office": "senate",
   "special_election": true,
   "polymarket_slug": "florida-senate-election-winner",
   "kalshi_ticker": "SENATEFLS-26",
   "option": "Angie Nixon",
   "party": "D",
   "polymarket_prob": 0.105,
   "kalshi_prob": 0.092,
   "gap_pp": 1.3,
   "polymarket_volume_usd": 1612.54,
   "kalshi_volume_contracts": 11397.88,
   "verified": "checked",
   "frozen": false,
   "data_as_of_utc": "2026-10-13T02:25:16Z",
   "source_urls": "https://polymarket.com/event/florida-senate-election-winner https://kalshi.com/markets/senatefls"
  },
  {
   "race_id": "senate-georgia",
   "state": "Georgia",
   "office": "senate",
   "special_election": false,
   "polymarket_slug": "georgia-senate-election-winner",
   "kalshi_ticker": "SENATEGA-26",
   "option": "Jon Ossoff",
   "party": "D",
   "polymarket_prob": 0.96,
   "kalshi_prob": 0.954,
   "gap_pp": 0.6,
   "polymarket_volume_usd": 2706.68,
   "kalshi_volume_contracts": 13077.74,
   "verified": "checked",
   "frozen": false,
   "data_as_of_utc": "2026-10-13T02:25:18Z",
   "source_urls": "https://polymarket.com/event/georgia-senate-election-winner https://kalshi.com/markets/senatega"
  },
  {
   "race_id": "senate-georgia",
   "state": "Georgia",
   "office": "senate",
   "special_election": false,
   "polymarket_slug": "georgia-senate-election-winner",
   "kalshi_ticker": "SENATEGA-26",
   "option": "Mike Collins",
   "party": "R",
   "polymarket_prob": 0.04,
   "kalshi_prob": 0.047,
   "gap_pp": 0.7,
   "polymarket_volume_usd": 2706.68,
   "kalshi_volume_contracts": 13077.74,
   "verified": "checked",
   "frozen": false,
   "data_as_of_utc": "2026-10-13T02:25:18Z",
   "source_urls": "https://polymarket.com/event/georgia-senate-election-winner https://kalshi.com/markets/senatega"
  },
  {
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