Prices for Argentina Presidential Election on Polymarket and Kalshi, side by side. A price of 41¢ means traders on that platform price the outcome at about 41%. It is a market price, not a forecast by PolyKal.
Independent research, not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Not trading advice. PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and does not report election results.
| Option | PPolymarket | KKalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patricia Bullrich | 1.0¢ | 1.6¢ | 0.6 pts |
| Axel Kicillof | 32.5¢ | 32.5¢ | 0.0 pts |
| Mauricio Macri | 0.3¢ | 2.5¢ | 2.2 pts |
| Sergio Massa | 7.5¢ | 8.1¢ | 0.6 pts |
| Javier Milei | 54.5¢ | 58.5¢ | 4.0 pts |
| Option | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Myriam Bregman | Polymarket | 1.1¢ |
| Esteban Bullrich | Polymarket | 0.2¢ |
| Nicolás del Caño | Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
| Dante Gebel | Polymarket | 2.5¢ |
| Juan Grabois | Polymarket | 0.4¢ |
| Daniel Hadad | Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
| Cristina Fernández de Kirchner | Polymarket | 1.4¢ |
| Máximo Kirchner | Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
| Horacio Rodríguez Larreta | Kalshi | 1.6¢ |
| Facundo Manes | Polymarket | 0.2¢ |
| Karina Milei | Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
| Guillermo Moreno | Polymarket | 0.2¢ |
| Eduardo de Pedro | Kalshi | 1.6¢ |
| Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro | Polymarket | 0.2¢ |
| Juan Schiaretti | Polymarket | 0.6¢ |
| Victoria Villarruel | Polymarket | 0.5¢ |
Listed on one platform only, so no gap is shown.
Official rule text
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Official rule text (Kalshi lists one market per option with the same wording; shown here for the Javier Milei market)
If the winner of the next Argentine presidential election is Javier Milei, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
| Option | KKalshi |
|---|---|
| Myriam Bregman | 1.5¢ |
| Patricia Bullrich | 1.5¢ |
| Juan Grabois | 1.5¢ |
| Axel Kicillof | 18.0¢ |
| Mauricio Macri | 1.5¢ |
| Sergio Massa | 3.0¢ |
| Javier Milei | 62.0¢ |
| Juan Schiaretti | 2.0¢ |
| Victoria Villarruel | 3.5¢ |
Only listed on Kalshi.
Official rule text (Kalshi lists one market per option with the same wording; shown here for the Javier Milei market)
If Javier Milei wins the first round of the 2027 Argentine presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. For elections with runoffs or multiple rounds: if the market does not specify a round, the winner is the ultimate victor of the election. If the market designates a specific round, the winner is the candidate elected in that round or, if the election is not decided in that round, the candidate receiving a plurality of votes in that round, in each case regardless of whether that round is followed by any further round or runoff. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and does not report election results. Prices use the same method as the Midterms pages: Polymarket shows the market's displayed Yes price. Kalshi shows the midpoint of the highest Yes bid and the lowest Yes ask when they are within 8¢ of each other, and otherwise the highest Yes bid. Options with no Yes bid show —.
Available from 16 October 2026.
Available from 24 November 2026. Bid, ask, spread, order book depth and open interest for each option.
Available from 24 November 2026. Notes on large price moves, with the facts reported in the same period.
Available from 20 October 2026. One row per option, per day, Polymarket prices only (CSV).
Each platform resolves its market on the official result named in its own rules. The rule text is quoted on this page.
The two platforms have different rules for what counts as winning, different fees, different users and different amounts of money in each market.
Options listed on both Polymarket and Kalshi are compared side by side, in alphabetical order. Options listed on only one platform are shown separately, without a gap figure. The list follows the markets, not an official candidate list.
No. PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and keeps the last pre-election prices as a snapshot. It does not report election results.
Every 15 minutes until prices stop updating before the vote.
Prices for Argentina Presidential Election on Polymarket and Kalshi, side by side. A price of 41¢ means traders on that platform price the outcome at about 41%. It is a market price, not a forecast by PolyKal.
Independent research, not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Not trading advice. PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and does not report election results.
| Option | PPolymarket | KKalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patricia Bullrich | 1.0¢ | 1.6¢ | 0.6 pts |
| Axel Kicillof | 32.5¢ | 32.5¢ | 0.0 pts |
| Mauricio Macri | 0.3¢ | 2.5¢ | 2.2 pts |
| Sergio Massa | 7.5¢ | 8.1¢ | 0.6 pts |
| Javier Milei | 54.5¢ | 58.5¢ | 4.0 pts |
| Option | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Myriam Bregman | Polymarket | 1.1¢ |
| Esteban Bullrich | Polymarket | 0.2¢ |
| Nicolás del Caño | Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
| Dante Gebel | Polymarket | 2.5¢ |
| Juan Grabois | Polymarket | 0.4¢ |
| Daniel Hadad | Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
| Cristina Fernández de Kirchner | Polymarket | 1.4¢ |
| Máximo Kirchner | Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
| Horacio Rodríguez Larreta | Kalshi | 1.6¢ |
| Facundo Manes | Polymarket | 0.2¢ |
| Karina Milei | Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
| Guillermo Moreno | Polymarket | 0.2¢ |
| Eduardo de Pedro | Kalshi | 1.6¢ |
| Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro | Polymarket | 0.2¢ |
| Juan Schiaretti | Polymarket | 0.6¢ |
| Victoria Villarruel | Polymarket | 0.5¢ |
Listed on one platform only, so no gap is shown.
Official rule text
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Official rule text (Kalshi lists one market per option with the same wording; shown here for the Javier Milei market)
If the winner of the next Argentine presidential election is Javier Milei, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
| Option | KKalshi |
|---|---|
| Myriam Bregman | 1.5¢ |
| Patricia Bullrich | 1.5¢ |
| Juan Grabois | 1.5¢ |
| Axel Kicillof | 18.0¢ |
| Mauricio Macri | 1.5¢ |
| Sergio Massa | 3.0¢ |
| Javier Milei | 62.0¢ |
| Juan Schiaretti | 2.0¢ |
| Victoria Villarruel | 3.5¢ |
Only listed on Kalshi.
Official rule text (Kalshi lists one market per option with the same wording; shown here for the Javier Milei market)
If Javier Milei wins the first round of the 2027 Argentine presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. For elections with runoffs or multiple rounds: if the market does not specify a round, the winner is the ultimate victor of the election. If the market designates a specific round, the winner is the candidate elected in that round or, if the election is not decided in that round, the candidate receiving a plurality of votes in that round, in each case regardless of whether that round is followed by any further round or runoff. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and does not report election results. Prices use the same method as the Midterms pages: Polymarket shows the market's displayed Yes price. Kalshi shows the midpoint of the highest Yes bid and the lowest Yes ask when they are within 8¢ of each other, and otherwise the highest Yes bid. Options with no Yes bid show —.
Available from 16 October 2026.
Available from 24 November 2026. Bid, ask, spread, order book depth and open interest for each option.
Available from 24 November 2026. Notes on large price moves, with the facts reported in the same period.
Available from 20 October 2026. One row per option, per day, Polymarket prices only (CSV).
Each platform resolves its market on the official result named in its own rules. The rule text is quoted on this page.
The two platforms have different rules for what counts as winning, different fees, different users and different amounts of money in each market.
Options listed on both Polymarket and Kalshi are compared side by side, in alphabetical order. Options listed on only one platform are shown separately, without a gap figure. The list follows the markets, not an official candidate list.
No. PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and keeps the last pre-election prices as a snapshot. It does not report election results.
Every 15 minutes until prices stop updating before the vote.