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Bulgaria Presidential Election 2026: Polymarket vs Kalshi Prices

Prices for Bulgaria Presidential Election 2026 on Polymarket and Kalshi, side by side. A price of 41¢ means traders on that platform price the outcome at about 41%. It is a market price, not a forecast by PolyKal.

Live · updated every 15 minutesElection day: 25 October 2026 · Data as of 2026-10-13 02:17 UTC · Prices stop updating at 2026-10-23 21:00 UTC

Independent research, not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Not trading advice. PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and does not report election results.

Kalshi lists this as: Bulgarian presidential election winner?

OptionPPolymarketKKalshiGap
Atanas Atanasov0.1¢1.5¢1.4 pts
Nikolai Denkov0.1¢1.5¢1.4 pts
Kostadin Kostadinov0.1¢1.5¢1.4 pts
Blagomir Kotsev0.1¢1.5¢1.4 pts
Yanaki Stoilov0.1¢1.5¢1.4 pts
Krum Zarkov0.1¢1.5¢1.4 pts
Rosen Zhelyazkov0.1¢1.5¢1.4 pts
Also listed on one platform (11)
OptionPlatformPrice
Boyko BorissovPolymarket0.1¢
Andrey GyurovKalshi11.0¢
Аndrey GyurovPolymarket11.5¢
Iliana IotovaPolymarket88.0¢
Natalia KiselovaPolymarket0.1¢
Nataliya KiselovaKalshi1.5¢
Delyan PeevskiPolymarket0.1¢
Rosen PlevnelievPolymarket0.1¢
Vasil TerzievKalshi1.5¢
Vassil TerzievPolymarket0.1¢
Iliana YotovaKalshi88.5¢

Listed on one platform only, so no gap is shown.

How this market resolves
PPolymarket

Official rule text

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).

KKalshi

Official rule text (Kalshi lists one market per option with the same wording; shown here for the Iliana Yotova market)

If Iliana Yotova wins the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?

OptionPPolymarket
Yes7.0¢

Only listed on Polymarket.

How this market resolves
PPolymarket

Official rule text

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on October 25, 2026, with a second round on November 1, 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than half of the valid votes in the first round, or if a candidate secures more than half of the valid votes but voter turnout is not more than half of registered voters. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).

PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and does not report election results. Prices use the same method as the Midterms pages: Polymarket shows the market's displayed Yes price. Kalshi shows the midpoint of the highest Yes bid and the lowest Yes ask when they are within 8¢ of each other, and otherwise the highest Yes bid. Options with no Yes bid show —.

Price history (30 days)

Available from 16 October 2026.

Market data

Available from 24 November 2026. Bid, ask, spread, order book depth and open interest for each option.

Price moves

Available from 24 November 2026. Notes on large price moves, with the facts reported in the same period.

Daily history download

Available from 20 October 2026. One row per option, per day, Polymarket prices only (CSV).

FAQ

What do these markets resolve on?

Each platform resolves its market on the official result named in its own rules. The rule text is quoted on this page.

Why are the prices different on Polymarket and Kalshi?

The two platforms have different rules for what counts as winning, different fees, different users and different amounts of money in each market.

Which candidates or parties are shown?

Options listed on both Polymarket and Kalshi are compared side by side, in alphabetical order. Options listed on only one platform are shown separately, without a gap figure. The list follows the markets, not an official candidate list.

Will this page show the election result?

No. PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and keeps the last pre-election prices as a snapshot. It does not report election results.

How often is the data updated?

Every 15 minutes until prices stop updating before the vote.

All election markets →Bulgaria elections →Methodology →Fee calculator →
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Elections
Bulgaria Presidential Election 2026: Polymarket vs Kalshi Prices

Prices for Bulgaria Presidential Election 2026 on Polymarket and Kalshi, side by side. A price of 41¢ means traders on that platform price the outcome at about 41%. It is a market price, not a forecast by PolyKal.

Live · updated every 15 minutesElection day: 25 October 2026 · Data as of 2026-10-13 02:17 UTC · Prices stop updating at 2026-10-23 21:00 UTC

Independent research, not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Not trading advice. PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and does not report election results.

Kalshi lists this as: Bulgarian presidential election winner?

OptionPPolymarketKKalshiGap
Atanas Atanasov0.1¢1.5¢1.4 pts
Nikolai Denkov0.1¢1.5¢1.4 pts
Kostadin Kostadinov0.1¢1.5¢1.4 pts
Blagomir Kotsev0.1¢1.5¢1.4 pts
Yanaki Stoilov0.1¢1.5¢1.4 pts
Krum Zarkov0.1¢1.5¢1.4 pts
Rosen Zhelyazkov0.1¢1.5¢1.4 pts
Also listed on one platform (11)
OptionPlatformPrice
Boyko BorissovPolymarket0.1¢
Andrey GyurovKalshi11.0¢
Аndrey GyurovPolymarket11.5¢
Iliana IotovaPolymarket88.0¢
Natalia KiselovaPolymarket0.1¢
Nataliya KiselovaKalshi1.5¢
Delyan PeevskiPolymarket0.1¢
Rosen PlevnelievPolymarket0.1¢
Vasil TerzievKalshi1.5¢
Vassil TerzievPolymarket0.1¢
Iliana YotovaKalshi88.5¢

Listed on one platform only, so no gap is shown.

How this market resolves
PPolymarket

Official rule text

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).

KKalshi

Official rule text (Kalshi lists one market per option with the same wording; shown here for the Iliana Yotova market)

If Iliana Yotova wins the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?

OptionPPolymarket
Yes7.0¢

Only listed on Polymarket.

How this market resolves
PPolymarket

Official rule text

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on October 25, 2026, with a second round on November 1, 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than half of the valid votes in the first round, or if a candidate secures more than half of the valid votes but voter turnout is not more than half of registered voters. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).

PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and does not report election results. Prices use the same method as the Midterms pages: Polymarket shows the market's displayed Yes price. Kalshi shows the midpoint of the highest Yes bid and the lowest Yes ask when they are within 8¢ of each other, and otherwise the highest Yes bid. Options with no Yes bid show —.

Price history (30 days)

Available from 16 October 2026.

Market data

Available from 24 November 2026. Bid, ask, spread, order book depth and open interest for each option.

Price moves

Available from 24 November 2026. Notes on large price moves, with the facts reported in the same period.

Daily history download

Available from 20 October 2026. One row per option, per day, Polymarket prices only (CSV).

FAQ

What do these markets resolve on?

Each platform resolves its market on the official result named in its own rules. The rule text is quoted on this page.

Why are the prices different on Polymarket and Kalshi?

The two platforms have different rules for what counts as winning, different fees, different users and different amounts of money in each market.

Which candidates or parties are shown?

Options listed on both Polymarket and Kalshi are compared side by side, in alphabetical order. Options listed on only one platform are shown separately, without a gap figure. The list follows the markets, not an official candidate list.

Will this page show the election result?

No. PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and keeps the last pre-election prices as a snapshot. It does not report election results.

How often is the data updated?

Every 15 minutes until prices stop updating before the vote.

All election markets →Bulgaria elections →Methodology →Fee calculator →
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Data is based on publicly visible on-chain and trading activity across platforms. For research reference only — not investment advice. Past performance does not indicate future results.