Prices for France elections on Polymarket. A price of 41¢ means traders on that platform price the outcome at about 41%. It is a market price, not a forecast by PolyKal.
Independent research, not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Not trading advice. PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and does not report election results.
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 4.7¢ |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French parlimentary election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Louis Aliot | 0.7¢ |
| Jordan Bardella | 96.4¢ |
| Sébastien Chenu | 0.7¢ |
| Laurent Jacobelli | 0.5¢ |
| Hélène Laporte | 0.5¢ |
| Marine Le Pen | 1.1¢ |
| David Rachline | 1.9¢ |
| Jean-Philippe Tanguy | 1.0¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
The National Rally’s 2026 Congress is scheduled for October 24–25, 2026 in Orléans, where the results of the election for party president are expected to be announced. This market will resolve to the individual who is officially announced as President of the National Rally following the National Rally’s 2026 Congress. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially elected, reelected, or otherwise announced by the National Rally as President of the National Rally following the 2026 Congress. If no such President of the National Rally is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and does not report election results. Prices use the same method as the Midterms pages: Polymarket shows the market's displayed Yes price. Kalshi shows the midpoint of the highest Yes bid and the lowest Yes ask when they are within 8¢ of each other, and otherwise the highest Yes bid. Options with no Yes bid show —.
Available from 16 October 2026.
Available from 24 November 2026. Bid, ask, spread, order book depth and open interest for each option.
Available from 24 November 2026. Notes on large price moves, with the facts reported in the same period.
Available from 20 October 2026. One row per option, per day, Polymarket prices only (CSV).
Each platform resolves its market on the official result named in its own rules. The rule text is quoted on this page.
No. This election is only listed on Polymarket right now, so the page shows Polymarket prices and rules without a cross-platform comparison.
Every priced option in the market is listed in alphabetical order. The list follows the market, not an official candidate list.
No. PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and keeps the last pre-election prices as a snapshot. It does not report election results.
Every 15 minutes until prices stop updating before the vote.
Prices for France elections on Polymarket. A price of 41¢ means traders on that platform price the outcome at about 41%. It is a market price, not a forecast by PolyKal.
Independent research, not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Not trading advice. PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and does not report election results.
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 4.7¢ |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French parlimentary election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Louis Aliot | 0.7¢ |
| Jordan Bardella | 96.4¢ |
| Sébastien Chenu | 0.7¢ |
| Laurent Jacobelli | 0.5¢ |
| Hélène Laporte | 0.5¢ |
| Marine Le Pen | 1.1¢ |
| David Rachline | 1.9¢ |
| Jean-Philippe Tanguy | 1.0¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
The National Rally’s 2026 Congress is scheduled for October 24–25, 2026 in Orléans, where the results of the election for party president are expected to be announced. This market will resolve to the individual who is officially announced as President of the National Rally following the National Rally’s 2026 Congress. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially elected, reelected, or otherwise announced by the National Rally as President of the National Rally following the 2026 Congress. If no such President of the National Rally is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and does not report election results. Prices use the same method as the Midterms pages: Polymarket shows the market's displayed Yes price. Kalshi shows the midpoint of the highest Yes bid and the lowest Yes ask when they are within 8¢ of each other, and otherwise the highest Yes bid. Options with no Yes bid show —.
Available from 16 October 2026.
Available from 24 November 2026. Bid, ask, spread, order book depth and open interest for each option.
Available from 24 November 2026. Notes on large price moves, with the facts reported in the same period.
Available from 20 October 2026. One row per option, per day, Polymarket prices only (CSV).
Each platform resolves its market on the official result named in its own rules. The rule text is quoted on this page.
No. This election is only listed on Polymarket right now, so the page shows Polymarket prices and rules without a cross-platform comparison.
Every priced option in the market is listed in alphabetical order. The list follows the market, not an official candidate list.
No. PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and keeps the last pre-election prices as a snapshot. It does not report election results.
Every 15 minutes until prices stop updating before the vote.