Prices for Gambia Presidential Election 2026 on Polymarket and Kalshi, side by side. A price of 41¢ means traders on that platform price the outcome at about 41%. It is a market price, not a forecast by PolyKal.
Independent research, not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Not trading advice. PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and does not report election results.
| Election day | 5 December 2026 (Saturday) Source: The Point (announced by the Independent Electoral Commission chair) ↗ |
|---|---|
| Office | President Source: The Point (announced by the Independent Electoral Commission chair) ↗ |
Kalshi lists this as: Gambian presidential election winner?
Prices for this market stop updating at 2026-12-03 23:59 UTC.
| Option | PPolymarket | KKalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adama Barrow | 72.5¢ | 73.5¢ | 1.0 pts |
| Ousainou Darboe | 12.0¢ | 12.0¢ | 0.0 pts |
| Essa Faal | 5.0¢ | 2.5¢ | 2.5 pts |
| Mama Kandeh | 7.6¢ | 2.5¢ | 5.1 pts |
| Option | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Bakary K. Badjie | Polymarket | 7.3¢ |
| Mohamed Al Amin Bah | Polymarket | 4.8¢ |
| Talib Ahmed Bensouda | Polymarket | 5.6¢ |
| Talib Bensouda | Kalshi | 9.5¢ |
| Other | Polymarket | — |
Listed on one platform only, so no gap is shown.
Official rule text
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in The Gambia on December 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Gambian presidential election. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by the Independent Electoral Commission of The Gambia (https://www.iec.gm/).
Official rule text (Kalshi lists one market per option with the same wording; shown here for the Adama Barrow market)
If the winner of the next Gambian presidential election is Adama Barrow, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and does not report election results. Prices use the same method as the Midterms pages: Polymarket shows the market's displayed Yes price. Kalshi shows the midpoint of the highest Yes bid and the lowest Yes ask when they are within 8¢ of each other, and otherwise the highest Yes bid. Options with no Yes bid show —.
Available from 16 October 2026.
Available from 24 November 2026. Bid, ask, spread, order book depth and open interest for each option.
Available from 24 November 2026. Notes on large price moves, with the facts reported in the same period.
Available from 20 October 2026. One row per option, per day, Polymarket prices only (CSV).
Each platform resolves its market on the official result named in its own rules. The rule text is quoted on this page.
The two platforms have different rules for what counts as winning, different fees, different users and different amounts of money in each market.
Options listed on both Polymarket and Kalshi are compared side by side, in alphabetical order. Options listed on only one platform are shown separately, without a gap figure. The list follows the markets, not an official candidate list.
No. PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and keeps the last pre-election prices as a snapshot. It does not report election results.
Every 15 minutes until prices stop updating before the vote.
Prices for Gambia Presidential Election 2026 on Polymarket and Kalshi, side by side. A price of 41¢ means traders on that platform price the outcome at about 41%. It is a market price, not a forecast by PolyKal.
Independent research, not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Not trading advice. PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and does not report election results.
| Election day | 5 December 2026 (Saturday) Source: The Point (announced by the Independent Electoral Commission chair) ↗ |
|---|---|
| Office | President Source: The Point (announced by the Independent Electoral Commission chair) ↗ |
Kalshi lists this as: Gambian presidential election winner?
Prices for this market stop updating at 2026-12-03 23:59 UTC.
| Option | PPolymarket | KKalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adama Barrow | 72.5¢ | 73.5¢ | 1.0 pts |
| Ousainou Darboe | 12.0¢ | 12.0¢ | 0.0 pts |
| Essa Faal | 5.0¢ | 2.5¢ | 2.5 pts |
| Mama Kandeh | 7.6¢ | 2.5¢ | 5.1 pts |
| Option | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Bakary K. Badjie | Polymarket | 7.3¢ |
| Mohamed Al Amin Bah | Polymarket | 4.8¢ |
| Talib Ahmed Bensouda | Polymarket | 5.6¢ |
| Talib Bensouda | Kalshi | 9.5¢ |
| Other | Polymarket | — |
Listed on one platform only, so no gap is shown.
Official rule text
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in The Gambia on December 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Gambian presidential election. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by the Independent Electoral Commission of The Gambia (https://www.iec.gm/).
Official rule text (Kalshi lists one market per option with the same wording; shown here for the Adama Barrow market)
If the winner of the next Gambian presidential election is Adama Barrow, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and does not report election results. Prices use the same method as the Midterms pages: Polymarket shows the market's displayed Yes price. Kalshi shows the midpoint of the highest Yes bid and the lowest Yes ask when they are within 8¢ of each other, and otherwise the highest Yes bid. Options with no Yes bid show —.
Available from 16 October 2026.
Available from 24 November 2026. Bid, ask, spread, order book depth and open interest for each option.
Available from 24 November 2026. Notes on large price moves, with the facts reported in the same period.
Available from 20 October 2026. One row per option, per day, Polymarket prices only (CSV).
Each platform resolves its market on the official result named in its own rules. The rule text is quoted on this page.
The two platforms have different rules for what counts as winning, different fees, different users and different amounts of money in each market.
Options listed on both Polymarket and Kalshi are compared side by side, in alphabetical order. Options listed on only one platform are shown separately, without a gap figure. The list follows the markets, not an official candidate list.
No. PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and keeps the last pre-election prices as a snapshot. It does not report election results.
Every 15 minutes until prices stop updating before the vote.