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Ljubljana Mayoral Election: Polymarket vs Kalshi Prices

Prices for Ljubljana Mayoral Election on Polymarket and Kalshi, side by side. A price of 41¢ means traders on that platform price the outcome at about 41%. It is a market price, not a forecast by PolyKal.

Live · updated every 15 minutesElection day: 15 November 2026 · Data as of 2026-10-13 02:17 UTC · Prices stop updating at 2026-11-13 23:00 UTC

Independent research, not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Not trading advice. PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and does not report election results.

OptionPPolymarketKKalshiGap
Zoran Janković72.0¢75.5¢3.5 pts
Luka Mesec12.5¢12.5¢0.0 pts
Anton Rop12.0¢7.0¢5.0 pts
Also listed on one platform (7)
OptionPlatformPrice
Jasmin FeratovićPolymarket4.2¢
Mihael JarcPolymarket0.1¢
Gregor NovakPolymarket0.1¢
Aleš PrimcPolymarket4.2¢
Aleksandar RepićPolymarket—
Apolonija SimonPolymarket0.2¢
OtherPolymarket—

Listed on one platform only, so no gap is shown.

How this market resolves
PPolymarket

Official rule text

The next Ljubljana mayoral election is scheduled to be held on November 15, 2026, to elect the mayor of the City Municipality of Ljubljana, Slovenia (župan Mestne občine Ljubljana). If no candidate wins a majority of valid votes in the first round, a runoff between the two leading candidates is scheduled for November 29, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ljubljana as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Municipal Election Commission of the City Municipality of Ljubljana (Občinska volilna komisija Mestne občine Ljubljana) and published by the State Election Commission (Državna volilna komisija, DVK) (https://www.dvk-rs.si/).

KKalshi

Official rule text (Kalshi lists one market per option with the same wording; shown here for the Zoran Janković market)

If Zoran Janković wins the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and does not report election results. Prices use the same method as the Midterms pages: Polymarket shows the market's displayed Yes price. Kalshi shows the midpoint of the highest Yes bid and the lowest Yes ask when they are within 8¢ of each other, and otherwise the highest Yes bid. Options with no Yes bid show —.

Price history (30 days)

Available from 16 October 2026.

Market data

Available from 24 November 2026. Bid, ask, spread, order book depth and open interest for each option.

Price moves

Available from 24 November 2026. Notes on large price moves, with the facts reported in the same period.

Daily history download

Available from 20 October 2026. One row per option, per day, Polymarket prices only (CSV).

FAQ

What do these markets resolve on?

Each platform resolves its market on the official result named in its own rules. The rule text is quoted on this page.

Why are the prices different on Polymarket and Kalshi?

The two platforms have different rules for what counts as winning, different fees, different users and different amounts of money in each market.

Which candidates or parties are shown?

Options listed on both Polymarket and Kalshi are compared side by side, in alphabetical order. Options listed on only one platform are shown separately, without a gap figure. The list follows the markets, not an official candidate list.

Will this page show the election result?

No. PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and keeps the last pre-election prices as a snapshot. It does not report election results.

How often is the data updated?

Every 15 minutes until prices stop updating before the vote.

All election markets →Slovenia elections →Methodology →Fee calculator →
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Elections
Ljubljana Mayoral Election: Polymarket vs Kalshi Prices

Prices for Ljubljana Mayoral Election on Polymarket and Kalshi, side by side. A price of 41¢ means traders on that platform price the outcome at about 41%. It is a market price, not a forecast by PolyKal.

Live · updated every 15 minutesElection day: 15 November 2026 · Data as of 2026-10-13 02:17 UTC · Prices stop updating at 2026-11-13 23:00 UTC

Independent research, not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Not trading advice. PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and does not report election results.

OptionPPolymarketKKalshiGap
Zoran Janković72.0¢75.5¢3.5 pts
Luka Mesec12.5¢12.5¢0.0 pts
Anton Rop12.0¢7.0¢5.0 pts
Also listed on one platform (7)
OptionPlatformPrice
Jasmin FeratovićPolymarket4.2¢
Mihael JarcPolymarket0.1¢
Gregor NovakPolymarket0.1¢
Aleš PrimcPolymarket4.2¢
Aleksandar RepićPolymarket—
Apolonija SimonPolymarket0.2¢
OtherPolymarket—

Listed on one platform only, so no gap is shown.

How this market resolves
PPolymarket

Official rule text

The next Ljubljana mayoral election is scheduled to be held on November 15, 2026, to elect the mayor of the City Municipality of Ljubljana, Slovenia (župan Mestne občine Ljubljana). If no candidate wins a majority of valid votes in the first round, a runoff between the two leading candidates is scheduled for November 29, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ljubljana as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Municipal Election Commission of the City Municipality of Ljubljana (Občinska volilna komisija Mestne občine Ljubljana) and published by the State Election Commission (Državna volilna komisija, DVK) (https://www.dvk-rs.si/).

KKalshi

Official rule text (Kalshi lists one market per option with the same wording; shown here for the Zoran Janković market)

If Zoran Janković wins the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and does not report election results. Prices use the same method as the Midterms pages: Polymarket shows the market's displayed Yes price. Kalshi shows the midpoint of the highest Yes bid and the lowest Yes ask when they are within 8¢ of each other, and otherwise the highest Yes bid. Options with no Yes bid show —.

Price history (30 days)

Available from 16 October 2026.

Market data

Available from 24 November 2026. Bid, ask, spread, order book depth and open interest for each option.

Price moves

Available from 24 November 2026. Notes on large price moves, with the facts reported in the same period.

Daily history download

Available from 20 October 2026. One row per option, per day, Polymarket prices only (CSV).

FAQ

What do these markets resolve on?

Each platform resolves its market on the official result named in its own rules. The rule text is quoted on this page.

Why are the prices different on Polymarket and Kalshi?

The two platforms have different rules for what counts as winning, different fees, different users and different amounts of money in each market.

Which candidates or parties are shown?

Options listed on both Polymarket and Kalshi are compared side by side, in alphabetical order. Options listed on only one platform are shown separately, without a gap figure. The list follows the markets, not an official candidate list.

Will this page show the election result?

No. PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and keeps the last pre-election prices as a snapshot. It does not report election results.

How often is the data updated?

Every 15 minutes until prices stop updating before the vote.

All election markets →Slovenia elections →Methodology →Fee calculator →
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Data is based on publicly visible on-chain and trading activity across platforms. For research reference only — not investment advice. Past performance does not indicate future results.