Prices for Mexico Midterm Elections 2027 on Polymarket and Kalshi, side by side. A price of 41¢ means traders on that platform price the outcome at about 41%. It is a market price, not a forecast by PolyKal.
Independent research, not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Not trading advice. PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and does not report election results.
| Election day | 6 June 2027 (Sunday), polls open 8:00–18:00 local time Source: Expansión Política (INE calendar) ↗ |
|---|---|
| Offices | 500 federal deputies, 17 governors, state legislatures and municipal governments Source: Expansión Política (INE calendar) ↗ |
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 1.1¢ |
| Morena | 77.0¢ |
| PAN | 12.5¢ |
| PRI | 3.2¢ |
| PT | 0.9¢ |
| PVEM | 13.5¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 36 members of the Congress of the State of Tamaulipas are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Tamaulipas as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Electoral de Tamaulipas. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Electoral de Tamaulipas, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Tamaulipas and Mexico, including the Instituto Electoral de Tamaulipas (https://www.ietam.org.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 0.6¢ |
| Morena | 67.5¢ |
| PAN | 1.1¢ |
| PRI | 29.0¢ |
| PT | 0.5¢ |
| PVEM | 3.5¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 42 members of the Congress of the State of Oaxaca are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Oaxaca as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Estatal Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana de Oaxaca. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Estatal Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana de Oaxaca, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Oaxaca and Mexico, including the Instituto Estatal Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana de Oaxaca (https://www.ieepco.org.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 0.5¢ |
| Morena | 51.0¢ |
| PAN | 3.4¢ |
| PRI | 31.0¢ |
| PT | 4.5¢ |
| PVEM | 4.9¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 40 members of the Congress of the State of Sinaloa are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Sinaloa as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Sinaloa. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Sinaloa, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Sinaloa (https://www.ieesinaloa.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 12.5¢ |
| Morena | 28.0¢ |
| PAN | 24.0¢ |
| PRI | 12.5¢ |
| PT | 20.0¢ |
| PVEM | 12.0¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 33 members of the Congress of the State of Chihuahua are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Chihuahua as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Estatal Electoral de Chihuahua. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Estatal Electoral de Chihuahua, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Instituto Estatal Electoral de Chihuahua (https://ieechihuahua.org.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 1.1¢ |
| Morena | 47.0¢ |
| PAN | 33.5¢ |
| PRI | 18.0¢ |
| PT | 2.5¢ |
| PVEM | 0.4¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 35 members of the Congress of the State of Yucatán are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Yucatán as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana de Yucatán. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana de Yucatán, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Yucatán and Mexico, including the Instituto Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana de Yucatán (https://www.iepac.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 3.4¢ |
| Morena | 77.5¢ |
| PAN | 2.6¢ |
| PRI | 0.9¢ |
| PT | 0.5¢ |
| PVEM | 18.5¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 75 members of the Congress of the State of Mexico are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Mexico as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Electoral del Estado de México. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Electoral del Estado de México, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of the State of Mexico and Mexico, including the Instituto Electoral del Estado de México (https://www.ieem.org.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 2.2¢ |
| Morena | 62.5¢ |
| PAN | 3.0¢ |
| PRI | 0.5¢ |
| PT | 29.0¢ |
| PVEM | 11.7¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 25 members of the Congress of the State of Quintana Roo are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Quintana Roo as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Electoral de Quintana Roo. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Electoral de Quintana Roo, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Quintana Roo and Mexico, including the Instituto Electoral de Quintana Roo (https://www.ieqroo.org.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 4.2¢ |
| Morena | 67.5¢ |
| PAN | 12.0¢ |
| PRI | 2.3¢ |
| PT | 0.8¢ |
| PVEM | 4.8¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 30 members of the Congress of the State of Nayarit are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Nayarit as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Estatal Electoral de Nayarit. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Estatal Electoral de Nayarit, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Instituto Estatal Electoral de Nayarit (https://www.ieenayarit.org/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 16.5¢ |
| Morena | 19.5¢ |
| PAN | 40.5¢ |
| PRI | 10.5¢ |
| PT | 3.0¢ |
| PVEM | 22.0¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 38 members of the Congress of the State of Jalisco are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Jalisco as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana del Estado de Jalisco. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana del Estado de Jalisco, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Jalisco and Mexico, including the Instituto Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana del Estado de Jalisco (https://www.iepcjalisco.org.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 1.8¢ |
| Morena | 51.0¢ |
| PAN | 5.0¢ |
| PRI | 2.8¢ |
| PT | 14.5¢ |
| PVEM | 5.8¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 40 members of the Congress of the State of Chiapas are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Chiapas as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto de Elecciones y Participación Ciudadana de Chiapas. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto de Elecciones y Participación Ciudadana de Chiapas, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Chiapas and Mexico, including the Instituto de Elecciones y Participación Ciudadana de Chiapas (https://www.iepc-chiapas.org.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 0.2¢ |
| Morena | 51.5¢ |
| PAN | 21.0¢ |
| PRI | 5.1¢ |
| PT | 6.0¢ |
| PVEM | 23.5¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 30 members of the Congress of the State of Zacatecas are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Zacatecas as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Zacatecas. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Zacatecas, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Zacatecas and Mexico, including the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Zacatecas (https://www.ieez.org.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 3.1¢ |
| Morena | 84.5¢ |
| PAN | 0.8¢ |
| PRI | 4.9¢ |
| PT | 4.0¢ |
| PVEM | 8.6¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 35 members of the Congress of the State of Tabasco are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Tabasco as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana de Tabasco. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana de Tabasco, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Tabasco and Mexico, including the Instituto Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana de Tabasco (https://www.iepct.org.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 20.5¢ |
| Morena | 25.0¢ |
| PAN | 54.5¢ |
| PRI | 4.7¢ |
| PT | 9.6¢ |
| PVEM | 9.4¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 25 members of the Congress of the State of Querétaro are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Querétaro as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Querétaro. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Querétaro, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Querétaro and Mexico, including the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Querétaro (https://ieeq.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 12.5¢ |
| Morena | 30.5¢ |
| PAN | 45.5¢ |
| PRI | 1.1¢ |
| PT | 2.2¢ |
| PVEM | 13.5¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 36 members of the Congress of the State of Guanajuato are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Guanajuato as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Guanajuato. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Guanajuato, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Guanajuato and Mexico, including the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Guanajuato (https://ieeg.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 17.7¢ |
| Morena | 24.0¢ |
| PAN | 38.0¢ |
| PRI | 8.8¢ |
| PT | 4.0¢ |
| PVEM | 14.5¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 27 members of the Congress of the State of Aguascalientes are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Aguascalientes as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Estatal Electoral de Aguascalientes. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Estatal Electoral de Aguascalientes, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Aguascalientes and Mexico, including the Instituto Estatal Electoral de Aguascalientes (https://www.ieeags.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Paul Ospital Carrera | 0.1¢ |
| Santiago Nieto Castillo | 10.2¢ |
| José María Tapia Franco | 0.1¢ |
| Luis Humberto Fernández Fuentes | 0.1¢ |
| Mario Mauro Ramírez González | 0.1¢ |
| Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero | 4.5¢ |
| Beatriz Robles Gutiérrez | 0.1¢ |
| Guadalupe Murguía Gutiérrez | 0.1¢ |
| Laura Patricia Polo Herrera | 1.0¢ |
| Agustín Dorantes Lámbarri | 0.5¢ |
| Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera | 47.0¢ |
| Agustín Hernández Ortiz | 0.1¢ |
| Manuel Garrido Patrón | 0.1¢ |
| Abigail Arredondo Ramos | 0.1¢ |
| Paulina Aguado Romero | 0.1¢ |
| Teresa Calzada Rovirosa | 1.0¢ |
| Gilberto Herrera Ruiz | 0.1¢ |
| Ricardo Astudillo Suárez | 0.1¢ |
| Marco Antonio Del Prete Tercero | 0.1¢ |
| Josué Guerrero Trápala | 0.3¢ |
| Astrid Alejandra Ortega Vázquez | 0.1¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Querétaro on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Querétaro gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Querétaro and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Querétaro and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 0.2¢ |
| Morena | 57.5¢ |
| PAN | 0.8¢ |
| PRI | 9.0¢ |
| PT | 17.5¢ |
| PVEM | 0.9¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 25 members of the Congress of the State of Tlaxcala are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Tlaxcala as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Tlaxcalteca de Elecciones. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Tlaxcalteca de Elecciones, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Tlaxcala and Mexico, including the Instituto Tlaxcalteca de Elecciones (https://www.itetlax.org.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 19.5¢ |
| Morena | 58.0¢ |
| PAN | 5.8¢ |
| PRI | 2.8¢ |
| PT | 2.7¢ |
| PVEM | 4.7¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 66 members of the Congress of Mexico City are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of Mexico City as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Electoral de la Ciudad de México. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Electoral de la Ciudad de México, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Mexico City and Mexico, including the Instituto Electoral de la Ciudad de México (https://www.iecm.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 11.0¢ |
| Morena | 68.5¢ |
| PAN | 5.5¢ |
| PRI | 8.5¢ |
| PT | 14.0¢ |
| PVEM | 9.0¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 50 members of the Congress of the State of Veracruz are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Veracruz as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Organismo Público Local Electoral del Estado de Veracruz. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Organismo Público Local Electoral del Estado de Veracruz, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Veracruz and Mexico, including the Organismo Público Local Electoral del Estado de Veracruz (https://www.oplever.org.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 5.5¢ |
| Morena | 38.5¢ |
| PAN | 13.0¢ |
| PRI | 1.1¢ |
| PT | 1.6¢ |
| PVEM | 47.5¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 27 members of the Congress of the State of San Luis Potosí are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of San Luis Potosí as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Consejo Estatal Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana de San Luis Potosí. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Consejo Estatal Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana de San Luis Potosí, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of San Luis Potosí and Mexico, including the Consejo Estatal Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana de San Luis Potosí (https://www.ceepacslp.org.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 1.1¢ |
| Morena | 63.0¢ |
| PAN | 16.0¢ |
| PRI | 5.2¢ |
| PT | 9.0¢ |
| PVEM | 17.0¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 21 members of the Congress of the State of Baja California Sur are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Baja California Sur as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Estatal Electoral de Baja California Sur. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Estatal Electoral de Baja California Sur, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Baja California Sur and Mexico, including the Instituto Estatal Electoral de Baja California Sur (https://www.ieebcs.org.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 17.2¢ |
| Morena | 50.0¢ |
| PAN | 16.5¢ |
| PRI | 5.0¢ |
| PT | 25.0¢ |
| PVEM | 18.0¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 40 members of the Congress of the State of Michoacán are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Michoacán as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Electoral de Michoacán. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Electoral de Michoacán, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Instituto Electoral de Michoacán (https://www.iem.org.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Arturo Ávila Anaya | 0.1¢ |
| Ana Gómez Calzada | 0.1¢ |
| Antonio Martín del Campo | 30.5¢ |
| Leonardo Montañez Castro | 42.0¢ |
| Humberto Ambriz Delgadillo | 0.2¢ |
| Karla Arely Espinoza | 0.1¢ |
| Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez | 22.5¢ |
| Salma Luévano Luna | 0.1¢ |
| Kendor Macías | 0.1¢ |
| Anayeli Muñoz Moreno | 0.1¢ |
| Leticia Olivares | 0.1¢ |
| Lorena Martínez Rodríguez | 0.1¢ |
| Aldo Ruiz Sánchez | 0.1¢ |
| Genny Janeth López Valenzuela | 0.1¢ |
| Ricardo Rodríguez Vargas | 0.1¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Aguascalientes on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Aguascalientes and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Aguascalientes and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Josefina Salazar Báez | 3.9¢ |
| Rubén Guajardo Barrera | 2.9¢ |
| Marco Antonio Gama Basarte | 0.4¢ |
| Ana Dora Cabrera | 2.8¢ |
| Enrique Galindo Ceballos | 10.8¢ |
| Aid Ávila Covarrubias | 6.4¢ |
| Verónica Rodríguez Hernández | 3.6¢ |
| Ricardo Gallardo Juárez | 0.4¢ |
| Carlos Arreola Mallol | 3.4¢ |
| Sara Rocha Medina | 0.9¢ |
| Daniel Montelongo | 4.5¢ |
| Cuauhtli Fernando Badillo Moreno | 3.4¢ |
| Juan Manuel Navarro Muñiz | 0.5¢ |
| Marvely Costanzo Rangel | 2.7¢ |
| Rita Ozalia Rodríguez | 0.4¢ |
| José Guadalupe Torres Sánchez | 0.6¢ |
| Ruth González Silva | 62.0¢ |
| Antonio Lorca Valle | 0.4¢ |
| Rosa Icela Rodríguez Velázquez | 0.1¢ |
| Gerardo Sánchez Zumaya | 7.0¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in San Luis Potosí on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 San Luis Potosí gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of San Luis Potosí and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of San Luis Potosí and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 25.5¢ |
| Morena | 26.0¢ |
| PAN | 25.0¢ |
| PRI | 35.0¢ |
| PT | 35.5¢ |
| PVEM | 28.0¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 42 members of the Congress of the State of Nuevo León are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Nuevo León as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Estatal Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana de Nuevo León. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Estatal Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana de Nuevo León, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Instituto Estatal Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana de Nuevo León (https://www.ieepcnl.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Ana Karen Hernández Aceves | 0.1¢ |
| Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua | 0.4¢ |
| Julia Licet Jiménez Angulo | 0.2¢ |
| Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera | 83.5¢ |
| Mario Delgado Carrillo | 2.6¢ |
| Mely Romero Celis | 0.9¢ |
| César Yáñez Centeno | 0.1¢ |
| Gabriela Benavides Cobos | 6.2¢ |
| José Manuel Romero Coello | 0.1¢ |
| Sofía Peralta Ferro | 0.6¢ |
| José Israel González | 0.1¢ |
| Margarita Moreno González | 4.0¢ |
| Esther Gutiérrez | 0.1¢ |
| Riult Rivera Gutiérrez | 4.9¢ |
| María Cristina Lupien | 1.8¢ |
| Griselda Martínez Martínez | 4.0¢ |
| Gricelda Valencia de la Mora | 2.4¢ |
| Hilda Lizette Moreno | 0.2¢ |
| Enrique Rojas Orozco | 0.1¢ |
| Joel Padilla Peña | 6.9¢ |
| Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez | 0.1¢ |
| Viridiana Valencia Vargas | 0.4¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Vicente Emilio Ponce Cano | 0.1¢ |
| Juan Salvador Santos Cedillo | 0.1¢ |
| Raymundo Vázquez Conchas | 0.1¢ |
| Adriana Dávila Fernández | 0.2¢ |
| Danae Figueroa | 1.1¢ |
| Alfonso Sánchez García | 5.6¢ |
| Concepción Sánchez González | 0.2¢ |
| Carlos Augusto Pérez Hernández | 0.1¢ |
| Floria María Hernández Hernández | 3.9¢ |
| Irma Yordana Garay Loredo | 0.1¢ |
| Héctor Bernardo Paredes Mora | 0.1¢ |
| Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera | 63.1¢ |
| Miriam Martínez Sánchez | 0.1¢ |
| Josefina Rodríguez Zamora | 0.1¢ |
| Anabell Ávalos Zempoalteca | 3.0¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Tlaxcala on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tlaxcala and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Tlaxcala and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Noemí Berenice Luna Ayala | 0.1¢ |
| Carlos Peña Badillo | 0.1¢ |
| José Narro Céspedes | 0.2¢ |
| Alfonso Ramírez Cuéllar | 0.5¢ |
| Zaira Ivonne Villagrana Escareño | 0.4¢ |
| Fuensanta Guadalupe Guerrero Esquivel | 0.1¢ |
| Arturo Nahle García | 0.5¢ |
| Ulises Mejía Haro | 20.5¢ |
| Jorge Álvarez Máynez | 0.1¢ |
| Rodrigo Reyes Mugüerza | 0.4¢ |
| Miguel Ángel Varela Pinedo | 0.1¢ |
| Verónica Díaz Robles | 54.0¢ |
| Bennelly Jocabeth Hernández Ruedas | 0.1¢ |
| Carlos Alberto Puente Salas | 0.1¢ |
| Julia Arcelia Olguín Serna | 0.4¢ |
| Geovanna Bañuelos de la Torre | 0.1¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zacatecas on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zacatecas gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Zacatecas and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Zacatecas and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 21.9¢ |
| Morena | 41.5¢ |
| PAN | 18.5¢ |
| PRI | 8.8¢ |
| PT | 25.4¢ |
| PVEM | 26.4¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 25 members of the Congress of the State of Baja California are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Baja California as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Estatal Electoral de Baja California. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Estatal Electoral de Baja California, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Baja California and Mexico, including the Instituto Estatal Electoral de Baja California (https://ieebc.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 24.5¢ |
| Morena | 41.0¢ |
| PAN | 10.5¢ |
| PRI | 8.5¢ |
| PT | 17.5¢ |
| PVEM | 5.0¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 35 members of the Congress of the State of Campeche are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Campeche as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Campeche. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Campeche, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Campeche and Mexico, including the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Campeche (https://www.ieec.org.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Gustavo Ayón Aguirre | 0.1¢ |
| Paola Vargas Arciniega | 0.2¢ |
| Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu | 12.8¢ |
| María Elizabeth López Blanco | 0.1¢ |
| Luis Zamora Carrillo | 0.5¢ |
| Ivonne Sabrina Díaz | 2.4¢ |
| Héctor Santana García | 7.6¢ |
| Ivideliza Reyes Hernández | 4.4¢ |
| Citlalli Rubí Huerta | 0.6¢ |
| Julieta Mejía Ibáñez | 0.3¢ |
| Manuel Cota Jiménez | 0.5¢ |
| Enrique Díaz López | 0.1¢ |
| José Antonio Barajas López | 0.1¢ |
| Nadia Ramírez López | 0.4¢ |
| Jesús Armando Vélez Macías | 0.4¢ |
| Ignacio Flores Medina | 0.1¢ |
| Geraldine Ponce Méndez | 3.6¢ |
| José Ramón Cambero Pérez | 0.3¢ |
| Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez | 66.9¢ |
| Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez | 0.1¢ |
| Gloria Núñez Sánchez | 0.4¢ |
| Pavel Jarero Velázquez | 0.5¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nayarit on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Rogelio Díaz Brown | 0.2¢ |
| Ernesto Gándara Camou | 0.7¢ |
| Javier Lamarque Cano | 3.2¢ |
| Célida Teresa López Cárdenas | 0.2¢ |
| Heriberto Aguilar Castillo | 0.1¢ |
| Patricia Mercado Castro | 0.1¢ |
| Víctor Hugo Celaya | 0.2¢ |
| Omar del Valle Colosio | 0.2¢ |
| Froylán Gámez Gamboa | 0.2¢ |
| Lilly Téllez García | 0.4¢ |
| Natalia Rivera Grijalva | 1.1¢ |
| Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez | 8.2¢ |
| Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas | 16.0¢ |
| Lorenia Valles Sampedro | 67.0¢ |
| Manuel Scott Sánchez | 0.4¢ |
| María Dolores del Río Sánchez | 0.1¢ |
| Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez | 0.8¢ |
| Guadalupe María Soto | 0.1¢ |
| Damián Zepeda Vidales | 0.2¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 0.1¢ |
| Morena | 86.2¢ |
| PAN | 6.9¢ |
| PRI | 2.4¢ |
| PT | 0.1¢ |
| PVEM | 0.1¢ |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 3.6¢ |
| Morena | 3.5¢ |
| PAN | 73.0¢ |
| PRI | 18.1¢ |
| PT | 0.2¢ |
| PVEM | 4.5¢ |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Rocío Abreu Artiñano | 0.1¢ |
| Francisco Farías Bailón | 0.1¢ |
| Christian Castro Bello | 0.4¢ |
| Pablo Angulo Briceño | 0.3¢ |
| Emilio Lara Calderón | 0.1¢ |
| Martina Kantún Can | 0.1¢ |
| Dulce Dorantes Cervera | 0.1¢ |
| Ricardo Medina Farfán | 0.2¢ |
| Salvador Farías González | 0.2¢ |
| Rosario Cruz Hernández | 0.1¢ |
| Armando Toledo Jamit | 0.2¢ |
| Ariana Rejón Lara | 0.1¢ |
| Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus | 71.5¢ |
| Eliseo Fernández Montúfar | 9.7¢ |
| Paul Arce Ontiveros | 0.2¢ |
| Aníbal Ostoa Ortega | 0.5¢ |
| Daniel Barreda Pavón | 0.5¢ |
| Laura Baqueiro Ramos | 0.1¢ |
| Liz Hernández Romero | 0.2¢ |
| Gerardo Sánchez Sansores | 0.1¢ |
| Biby Rabelo de la Torre | 0.3¢ |
| Andrés Fernández del Valle | 0.1¢ |
| Yolanda Valladares Valle | 0.1¢ |
| Carlos Ucán Yam | 0.5¢ |
| Karla Guadalupe Toledo Zamora | 0.1¢ |
| Nelly Márquez Zapata | 0.2¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Campeche on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Gilberto Loya Chávez | 0.2¢ |
| Cruz Pérez Cuéllar | 48.5¢ |
| Alejandro Domínguez Domínguez | 0.3¢ |
| Jesús Valenciano García | 0.2¢ |
| Graciela Ortiz González | 0.2¢ |
| Santiago de la Peña Grajeda | 0.4¢ |
| Daniela Álvarez Hernández | 0.3¢ |
| Luis Carlos Arrieta Lavenant | 0.3¢ |
| Julián LeBarón | 0.1¢ |
| Marco Bonilla Mendoza | 34.5¢ |
| Martín Chaparro Payán | 0.7¢ |
| Rosana Díaz Reyes | 0.3¢ |
| Mario Vázquez Robles | 0.3¢ |
| Alfredo Lozoya Santillán | 0.2¢ |
| Andrea Chávez Treviño | 21.5¢ |
| Francisco Sánchez Villegas | 0.2¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Alejandro Bravo Abarca | 0.1¢ |
| Evodio Velázquez Aguirre | 0.1¢ |
| Javier Saldaña Almazán | 0.1¢ |
| Mario Moreno Arcos | 0.9¢ |
| Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros | 0.1¢ |
| Manuel Añorve Baños | 6.6¢ |
| Yesenia Galarza Castro | 0.1¢ |
| Eloy Salmerón Díaz | 0.1¢ |
| Iván Hernández Díaz | 0.1¢ |
| Guadalupe Eguiluz | 0.1¢ |
| Genaro Vázquez Flores | 0.1¢ |
| Héctor Astudillo Flores | 0.1¢ |
| Julián López Galeana | 0.1¢ |
| Rubén Cayetano García | 0.1¢ |
| Gustavo Alarcón Herrera | 0.1¢ |
| Erika Lorena Lührs | 0.1¢ |
| Félix Salgado Macedonio | 0.1¢ |
| Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez | 0.1¢ |
| Rogelio Ortega Martínez | 0.1¢ |
| Beatriz Mojica Morga | 88.3¢ |
| Esthela Damián Peralta | 2.3¢ |
| Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz | 0.1¢ |
| Abelina López Rodríguez | 0.1¢ |
| Alberto López Rosas | 0.1¢ |
| Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña | 0.1¢ |
| Carlos Reyes Torres | 0.1¢ |
| Karen Castrejón Trujillo | 0.1¢ |
| Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos | 0.1¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Ernesto Núñez Aguilar | 0.1¢ |
| Gabriela Molina Aguilar | 0.1¢ |
| Alfonso Martínez Alcázar | 6.2¢ |
| Germán Martínez Cázares | 0.1¢ |
| Leinad Abigail Rojas Elenes | 0.1¢ |
| Adriana Hernández Íñiguez | 0.1¢ |
| Netzahualcóyotl Alanís Luna | 0.1¢ |
| Gladyz Butanda Macías | 12.8¢ |
| Víctor Manuel Manríquez | 0.1¢ |
| Marko Cortés Mendoza | 0.1¢ |
| Edna Martínez Nambo | 0.1¢ |
| Esteban González Nava | 0.1¢ |
| Raúl Morón Orozco | 2.2¢ |
| Celeste Ascencio Ortega | 0.1¢ |
| Netzahualcóyotl Alarcón Pedraza | 0.1¢ |
| Carlos Torres Piña | 36.7¢ |
| Ana Lilia Guillén Quiroz | 0.1¢ |
| Grecia Quiroz | 15.1¢ |
| Guillermo Valencia Reyes | 0.1¢ |
| Fabiola Alanís Sámano | 0.5¢ |
| Daniela de los Santos | 0.1¢ |
| Carlos Herrera Tello | 0.1¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Fernando Margáin Berlanga | 0.4¢ |
| Raúl Lozano Caballero | 0.7¢ |
| Mariana Rodríguez Cantú | 29.8¢ |
| Annia Gómez Cárdenas | 0.1¢ |
| Clara Luz Flores Carrales | 11.6¢ |
| Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo | 5.3¢ |
| Félix Arratia Cruz | 3.3¢ |
| Judith Díaz Delgado | 0.9¢ |
| Jesús Alberto Elizondo | 4.2¢ |
| Alma Rosa Marroquín Escamilla | 5.0¢ |
| Carlos de la Fuente Flores | 2.4¢ |
| Héctor García García | 0.5¢ |
| Arturo Salinas Garza | 1.2¢ |
| Martha Herrera González | 2.1¢ |
| Waldo Fernández González | 17.2¢ |
| Andrés Mijes Llovera | 1.8¢ |
| Daniel Carrillo Martínez | 1.1¢ |
| Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas | 4.9¢ |
| Felipe de Jesús Cantú Rodríguez | 2.1¢ |
| Adrián de la Garza Santos | 26.0¢ |
| Miguel Flores Serna | 1.8¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Pedro José Flota Alcocer | 0.2¢ |
| Estefanía Mercado Asencio | 0.8¢ |
| Roberto Palazuelos Badeaux | 0.3¢ |
| Marybel Villegas Canché | 1.1¢ |
| Reyna Tamayo Carballo | 2.9¢ |
| Lidia Rojas Fabro | 0.4¢ |
| Amalia Castilla Madrid | 0.4¢ |
| David Ortiz Mena | 0.1¢ |
| Filiberto Martínez Méndez | 0.1¢ |
| Rafael Marín Mollinedo | 1.4¢ |
| Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña | 4.5¢ |
| Leslie Hendricks Rubio | 0.3¢ |
| Mayuli Martínez Simón | 0.2¢ |
| Alexa Murguía Trujillo | 0.4¢ |
| José Luis Pech Várguez | 0.8¢ |
| Eugenio Segura Vázquez | 80.5¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Quintana Roo on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Quintana Roo and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Tomás de Jesús López Bajo | 0.5¢ |
| Omar López Campos | 0.4¢ |
| Imelda Castro Castro | 79.5¢ |
| Estrella Palacios Domínguez | 0.3¢ |
| Sergio Torres Félix | 0.4¢ |
| Kristiam Alexis Espinoza García | 0.5¢ |
| Mario Zamora Gastélum | 12.6¢ |
| Eduardo Ortiz Hernández | 0.1¢ |
| Jesús Fernando García Hernández | 0.3¢ |
| Gerardo Octavio Vargas Landeros | 0.3¢ |
| Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil | 0.5¢ |
| Lucila Ayala de Moreschi | 0.4¢ |
| Graciela Domínguez Nava | 0.5¢ |
| María Teresa Guerra Ochoa | 2.9¢ |
| Ricardo Madrid Pérez | 0.5¢ |
| Jesús Alfonso Ibarra Ramos | 0.4¢ |
| Paloma Sánchez Ramos | 0.4¢ |
| María Fernanda Rivera | 0.1¢ |
| Guillermo Romero Rodríguez | 0.4¢ |
| Rodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez | 0.4¢ |
| Roxana Rubio Valdez | 0.4¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sinaloa on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
| Option | KKalshi |
|---|---|
| MC | 2.0¢ |
| Morena | 85.0¢ |
| PAN | 9.2¢ |
| PRI | 4.1¢ |
| PT | 2.0¢ |
| PVEM | 2.0¢ |
Only listed on Kalshi.
Official rule text (Kalshi lists one market per option with the same wording; shown here for the Morena market)
If the winner of the next Mexican Chamber of deputies election is Morena, then the market resolves to Yes. For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and does not report election results. Prices use the same method as the Midterms pages: Polymarket shows the market's displayed Yes price. Kalshi shows the midpoint of the highest Yes bid and the lowest Yes ask when they are within 8¢ of each other, and otherwise the highest Yes bid. Options with no Yes bid show —.
Available from 16 October 2026.
Available from 24 November 2026. Bid, ask, spread, order book depth and open interest for each option.
Available from 24 November 2026. Notes on large price moves, with the facts reported in the same period.
Available from 20 October 2026. One row per option, per day, Polymarket prices only (CSV).
Each platform resolves its market on the official result named in its own rules. The rule text is quoted on this page.
The two platforms have different rules for what counts as winning, different fees, different users and different amounts of money in each market.
Options listed on both Polymarket and Kalshi are compared side by side, in alphabetical order. Options listed on only one platform are shown separately, without a gap figure. The list follows the markets, not an official candidate list.
No. PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and keeps the last pre-election prices as a snapshot. It does not report election results.
Every 15 minutes until prices stop updating before the vote.
Prices for Mexico Midterm Elections 2027 on Polymarket and Kalshi, side by side. A price of 41¢ means traders on that platform price the outcome at about 41%. It is a market price, not a forecast by PolyKal.
Independent research, not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Not trading advice. PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and does not report election results.
| Election day | 6 June 2027 (Sunday), polls open 8:00–18:00 local time Source: Expansión Política (INE calendar) ↗ |
|---|---|
| Offices | 500 federal deputies, 17 governors, state legislatures and municipal governments Source: Expansión Política (INE calendar) ↗ |
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 1.1¢ |
| Morena | 77.0¢ |
| PAN | 12.5¢ |
| PRI | 3.2¢ |
| PT | 0.9¢ |
| PVEM | 13.5¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 36 members of the Congress of the State of Tamaulipas are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Tamaulipas as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Electoral de Tamaulipas. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Electoral de Tamaulipas, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Tamaulipas and Mexico, including the Instituto Electoral de Tamaulipas (https://www.ietam.org.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 0.6¢ |
| Morena | 67.5¢ |
| PAN | 1.1¢ |
| PRI | 29.0¢ |
| PT | 0.5¢ |
| PVEM | 3.5¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 42 members of the Congress of the State of Oaxaca are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Oaxaca as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Estatal Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana de Oaxaca. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Estatal Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana de Oaxaca, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Oaxaca and Mexico, including the Instituto Estatal Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana de Oaxaca (https://www.ieepco.org.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 0.5¢ |
| Morena | 51.0¢ |
| PAN | 3.4¢ |
| PRI | 31.0¢ |
| PT | 4.5¢ |
| PVEM | 4.9¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 40 members of the Congress of the State of Sinaloa are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Sinaloa as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Sinaloa. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Sinaloa, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Sinaloa (https://www.ieesinaloa.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 12.5¢ |
| Morena | 28.0¢ |
| PAN | 24.0¢ |
| PRI | 12.5¢ |
| PT | 20.0¢ |
| PVEM | 12.0¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 33 members of the Congress of the State of Chihuahua are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Chihuahua as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Estatal Electoral de Chihuahua. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Estatal Electoral de Chihuahua, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Instituto Estatal Electoral de Chihuahua (https://ieechihuahua.org.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 1.1¢ |
| Morena | 47.0¢ |
| PAN | 33.5¢ |
| PRI | 18.0¢ |
| PT | 2.5¢ |
| PVEM | 0.4¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 35 members of the Congress of the State of Yucatán are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Yucatán as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana de Yucatán. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana de Yucatán, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Yucatán and Mexico, including the Instituto Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana de Yucatán (https://www.iepac.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 3.4¢ |
| Morena | 77.5¢ |
| PAN | 2.6¢ |
| PRI | 0.9¢ |
| PT | 0.5¢ |
| PVEM | 18.5¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 75 members of the Congress of the State of Mexico are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Mexico as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Electoral del Estado de México. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Electoral del Estado de México, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of the State of Mexico and Mexico, including the Instituto Electoral del Estado de México (https://www.ieem.org.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 2.2¢ |
| Morena | 62.5¢ |
| PAN | 3.0¢ |
| PRI | 0.5¢ |
| PT | 29.0¢ |
| PVEM | 11.7¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 25 members of the Congress of the State of Quintana Roo are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Quintana Roo as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Electoral de Quintana Roo. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Electoral de Quintana Roo, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Quintana Roo and Mexico, including the Instituto Electoral de Quintana Roo (https://www.ieqroo.org.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 4.2¢ |
| Morena | 67.5¢ |
| PAN | 12.0¢ |
| PRI | 2.3¢ |
| PT | 0.8¢ |
| PVEM | 4.8¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 30 members of the Congress of the State of Nayarit are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Nayarit as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Estatal Electoral de Nayarit. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Estatal Electoral de Nayarit, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Instituto Estatal Electoral de Nayarit (https://www.ieenayarit.org/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 16.5¢ |
| Morena | 19.5¢ |
| PAN | 40.5¢ |
| PRI | 10.5¢ |
| PT | 3.0¢ |
| PVEM | 22.0¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 38 members of the Congress of the State of Jalisco are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Jalisco as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana del Estado de Jalisco. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana del Estado de Jalisco, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Jalisco and Mexico, including the Instituto Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana del Estado de Jalisco (https://www.iepcjalisco.org.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 1.8¢ |
| Morena | 51.0¢ |
| PAN | 5.0¢ |
| PRI | 2.8¢ |
| PT | 14.5¢ |
| PVEM | 5.8¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 40 members of the Congress of the State of Chiapas are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Chiapas as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto de Elecciones y Participación Ciudadana de Chiapas. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto de Elecciones y Participación Ciudadana de Chiapas, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Chiapas and Mexico, including the Instituto de Elecciones y Participación Ciudadana de Chiapas (https://www.iepc-chiapas.org.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 0.2¢ |
| Morena | 51.5¢ |
| PAN | 21.0¢ |
| PRI | 5.1¢ |
| PT | 6.0¢ |
| PVEM | 23.5¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 30 members of the Congress of the State of Zacatecas are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Zacatecas as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Zacatecas. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Zacatecas, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Zacatecas and Mexico, including the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Zacatecas (https://www.ieez.org.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 3.1¢ |
| Morena | 84.5¢ |
| PAN | 0.8¢ |
| PRI | 4.9¢ |
| PT | 4.0¢ |
| PVEM | 8.6¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 35 members of the Congress of the State of Tabasco are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Tabasco as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana de Tabasco. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana de Tabasco, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Tabasco and Mexico, including the Instituto Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana de Tabasco (https://www.iepct.org.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 20.5¢ |
| Morena | 25.0¢ |
| PAN | 54.5¢ |
| PRI | 4.7¢ |
| PT | 9.6¢ |
| PVEM | 9.4¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 25 members of the Congress of the State of Querétaro are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Querétaro as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Querétaro. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Querétaro, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Querétaro and Mexico, including the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Querétaro (https://ieeq.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 12.5¢ |
| Morena | 30.5¢ |
| PAN | 45.5¢ |
| PRI | 1.1¢ |
| PT | 2.2¢ |
| PVEM | 13.5¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 36 members of the Congress of the State of Guanajuato are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Guanajuato as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Guanajuato. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Guanajuato, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Guanajuato and Mexico, including the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Guanajuato (https://ieeg.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 17.7¢ |
| Morena | 24.0¢ |
| PAN | 38.0¢ |
| PRI | 8.8¢ |
| PT | 4.0¢ |
| PVEM | 14.5¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 27 members of the Congress of the State of Aguascalientes are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Aguascalientes as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Estatal Electoral de Aguascalientes. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Estatal Electoral de Aguascalientes, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Aguascalientes and Mexico, including the Instituto Estatal Electoral de Aguascalientes (https://www.ieeags.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Paul Ospital Carrera | 0.1¢ |
| Santiago Nieto Castillo | 10.2¢ |
| José María Tapia Franco | 0.1¢ |
| Luis Humberto Fernández Fuentes | 0.1¢ |
| Mario Mauro Ramírez González | 0.1¢ |
| Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero | 4.5¢ |
| Beatriz Robles Gutiérrez | 0.1¢ |
| Guadalupe Murguía Gutiérrez | 0.1¢ |
| Laura Patricia Polo Herrera | 1.0¢ |
| Agustín Dorantes Lámbarri | 0.5¢ |
| Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera | 47.0¢ |
| Agustín Hernández Ortiz | 0.1¢ |
| Manuel Garrido Patrón | 0.1¢ |
| Abigail Arredondo Ramos | 0.1¢ |
| Paulina Aguado Romero | 0.1¢ |
| Teresa Calzada Rovirosa | 1.0¢ |
| Gilberto Herrera Ruiz | 0.1¢ |
| Ricardo Astudillo Suárez | 0.1¢ |
| Marco Antonio Del Prete Tercero | 0.1¢ |
| Josué Guerrero Trápala | 0.3¢ |
| Astrid Alejandra Ortega Vázquez | 0.1¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Querétaro on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Querétaro gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Querétaro and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Querétaro and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 0.2¢ |
| Morena | 57.5¢ |
| PAN | 0.8¢ |
| PRI | 9.0¢ |
| PT | 17.5¢ |
| PVEM | 0.9¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 25 members of the Congress of the State of Tlaxcala are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Tlaxcala as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Tlaxcalteca de Elecciones. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Tlaxcalteca de Elecciones, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Tlaxcala and Mexico, including the Instituto Tlaxcalteca de Elecciones (https://www.itetlax.org.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 19.5¢ |
| Morena | 58.0¢ |
| PAN | 5.8¢ |
| PRI | 2.8¢ |
| PT | 2.7¢ |
| PVEM | 4.7¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 66 members of the Congress of Mexico City are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of Mexico City as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Electoral de la Ciudad de México. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Electoral de la Ciudad de México, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Mexico City and Mexico, including the Instituto Electoral de la Ciudad de México (https://www.iecm.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 11.0¢ |
| Morena | 68.5¢ |
| PAN | 5.5¢ |
| PRI | 8.5¢ |
| PT | 14.0¢ |
| PVEM | 9.0¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 50 members of the Congress of the State of Veracruz are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Veracruz as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Organismo Público Local Electoral del Estado de Veracruz. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Organismo Público Local Electoral del Estado de Veracruz, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Veracruz and Mexico, including the Organismo Público Local Electoral del Estado de Veracruz (https://www.oplever.org.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 5.5¢ |
| Morena | 38.5¢ |
| PAN | 13.0¢ |
| PRI | 1.1¢ |
| PT | 1.6¢ |
| PVEM | 47.5¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 27 members of the Congress of the State of San Luis Potosí are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of San Luis Potosí as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Consejo Estatal Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana de San Luis Potosí. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Consejo Estatal Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana de San Luis Potosí, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of San Luis Potosí and Mexico, including the Consejo Estatal Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana de San Luis Potosí (https://www.ceepacslp.org.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 1.1¢ |
| Morena | 63.0¢ |
| PAN | 16.0¢ |
| PRI | 5.2¢ |
| PT | 9.0¢ |
| PVEM | 17.0¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 21 members of the Congress of the State of Baja California Sur are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Baja California Sur as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Estatal Electoral de Baja California Sur. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Estatal Electoral de Baja California Sur, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Baja California Sur and Mexico, including the Instituto Estatal Electoral de Baja California Sur (https://www.ieebcs.org.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 17.2¢ |
| Morena | 50.0¢ |
| PAN | 16.5¢ |
| PRI | 5.0¢ |
| PT | 25.0¢ |
| PVEM | 18.0¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 40 members of the Congress of the State of Michoacán are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Michoacán as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Electoral de Michoacán. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Electoral de Michoacán, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Instituto Electoral de Michoacán (https://www.iem.org.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Arturo Ávila Anaya | 0.1¢ |
| Ana Gómez Calzada | 0.1¢ |
| Antonio Martín del Campo | 30.5¢ |
| Leonardo Montañez Castro | 42.0¢ |
| Humberto Ambriz Delgadillo | 0.2¢ |
| Karla Arely Espinoza | 0.1¢ |
| Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez | 22.5¢ |
| Salma Luévano Luna | 0.1¢ |
| Kendor Macías | 0.1¢ |
| Anayeli Muñoz Moreno | 0.1¢ |
| Leticia Olivares | 0.1¢ |
| Lorena Martínez Rodríguez | 0.1¢ |
| Aldo Ruiz Sánchez | 0.1¢ |
| Genny Janeth López Valenzuela | 0.1¢ |
| Ricardo Rodríguez Vargas | 0.1¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Aguascalientes on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Aguascalientes and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Aguascalientes and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Josefina Salazar Báez | 3.9¢ |
| Rubén Guajardo Barrera | 2.9¢ |
| Marco Antonio Gama Basarte | 0.4¢ |
| Ana Dora Cabrera | 2.8¢ |
| Enrique Galindo Ceballos | 10.8¢ |
| Aid Ávila Covarrubias | 6.4¢ |
| Verónica Rodríguez Hernández | 3.6¢ |
| Ricardo Gallardo Juárez | 0.4¢ |
| Carlos Arreola Mallol | 3.4¢ |
| Sara Rocha Medina | 0.9¢ |
| Daniel Montelongo | 4.5¢ |
| Cuauhtli Fernando Badillo Moreno | 3.4¢ |
| Juan Manuel Navarro Muñiz | 0.5¢ |
| Marvely Costanzo Rangel | 2.7¢ |
| Rita Ozalia Rodríguez | 0.4¢ |
| José Guadalupe Torres Sánchez | 0.6¢ |
| Ruth González Silva | 62.0¢ |
| Antonio Lorca Valle | 0.4¢ |
| Rosa Icela Rodríguez Velázquez | 0.1¢ |
| Gerardo Sánchez Zumaya | 7.0¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in San Luis Potosí on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 San Luis Potosí gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of San Luis Potosí and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of San Luis Potosí and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 25.5¢ |
| Morena | 26.0¢ |
| PAN | 25.0¢ |
| PRI | 35.0¢ |
| PT | 35.5¢ |
| PVEM | 28.0¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 42 members of the Congress of the State of Nuevo León are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Nuevo León as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Estatal Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana de Nuevo León. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Estatal Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana de Nuevo León, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Instituto Estatal Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana de Nuevo León (https://www.ieepcnl.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Ana Karen Hernández Aceves | 0.1¢ |
| Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua | 0.4¢ |
| Julia Licet Jiménez Angulo | 0.2¢ |
| Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera | 83.5¢ |
| Mario Delgado Carrillo | 2.6¢ |
| Mely Romero Celis | 0.9¢ |
| César Yáñez Centeno | 0.1¢ |
| Gabriela Benavides Cobos | 6.2¢ |
| José Manuel Romero Coello | 0.1¢ |
| Sofía Peralta Ferro | 0.6¢ |
| José Israel González | 0.1¢ |
| Margarita Moreno González | 4.0¢ |
| Esther Gutiérrez | 0.1¢ |
| Riult Rivera Gutiérrez | 4.9¢ |
| María Cristina Lupien | 1.8¢ |
| Griselda Martínez Martínez | 4.0¢ |
| Gricelda Valencia de la Mora | 2.4¢ |
| Hilda Lizette Moreno | 0.2¢ |
| Enrique Rojas Orozco | 0.1¢ |
| Joel Padilla Peña | 6.9¢ |
| Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez | 0.1¢ |
| Viridiana Valencia Vargas | 0.4¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Vicente Emilio Ponce Cano | 0.1¢ |
| Juan Salvador Santos Cedillo | 0.1¢ |
| Raymundo Vázquez Conchas | 0.1¢ |
| Adriana Dávila Fernández | 0.2¢ |
| Danae Figueroa | 1.1¢ |
| Alfonso Sánchez García | 5.6¢ |
| Concepción Sánchez González | 0.2¢ |
| Carlos Augusto Pérez Hernández | 0.1¢ |
| Floria María Hernández Hernández | 3.9¢ |
| Irma Yordana Garay Loredo | 0.1¢ |
| Héctor Bernardo Paredes Mora | 0.1¢ |
| Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera | 63.1¢ |
| Miriam Martínez Sánchez | 0.1¢ |
| Josefina Rodríguez Zamora | 0.1¢ |
| Anabell Ávalos Zempoalteca | 3.0¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Tlaxcala on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tlaxcala and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Tlaxcala and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Noemí Berenice Luna Ayala | 0.1¢ |
| Carlos Peña Badillo | 0.1¢ |
| José Narro Céspedes | 0.2¢ |
| Alfonso Ramírez Cuéllar | 0.5¢ |
| Zaira Ivonne Villagrana Escareño | 0.4¢ |
| Fuensanta Guadalupe Guerrero Esquivel | 0.1¢ |
| Arturo Nahle García | 0.5¢ |
| Ulises Mejía Haro | 20.5¢ |
| Jorge Álvarez Máynez | 0.1¢ |
| Rodrigo Reyes Mugüerza | 0.4¢ |
| Miguel Ángel Varela Pinedo | 0.1¢ |
| Verónica Díaz Robles | 54.0¢ |
| Bennelly Jocabeth Hernández Ruedas | 0.1¢ |
| Carlos Alberto Puente Salas | 0.1¢ |
| Julia Arcelia Olguín Serna | 0.4¢ |
| Geovanna Bañuelos de la Torre | 0.1¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zacatecas on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Zacatecas gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Zacatecas and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Zacatecas and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 21.9¢ |
| Morena | 41.5¢ |
| PAN | 18.5¢ |
| PRI | 8.8¢ |
| PT | 25.4¢ |
| PVEM | 26.4¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 25 members of the Congress of the State of Baja California are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Baja California as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Estatal Electoral de Baja California. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Estatal Electoral de Baja California, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Baja California and Mexico, including the Instituto Estatal Electoral de Baja California (https://ieebc.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 24.5¢ |
| Morena | 41.0¢ |
| PAN | 10.5¢ |
| PRI | 8.5¢ |
| PT | 17.5¢ |
| PVEM | 5.0¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Legislative elections to elect the 35 members of the Congress of the State of Campeche are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Campeche as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Campeche. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Campeche, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Campeche and Mexico, including the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Campeche (https://www.ieec.org.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Gustavo Ayón Aguirre | 0.1¢ |
| Paola Vargas Arciniega | 0.2¢ |
| Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu | 12.8¢ |
| María Elizabeth López Blanco | 0.1¢ |
| Luis Zamora Carrillo | 0.5¢ |
| Ivonne Sabrina Díaz | 2.4¢ |
| Héctor Santana García | 7.6¢ |
| Ivideliza Reyes Hernández | 4.4¢ |
| Citlalli Rubí Huerta | 0.6¢ |
| Julieta Mejía Ibáñez | 0.3¢ |
| Manuel Cota Jiménez | 0.5¢ |
| Enrique Díaz López | 0.1¢ |
| José Antonio Barajas López | 0.1¢ |
| Nadia Ramírez López | 0.4¢ |
| Jesús Armando Vélez Macías | 0.4¢ |
| Ignacio Flores Medina | 0.1¢ |
| Geraldine Ponce Méndez | 3.6¢ |
| José Ramón Cambero Pérez | 0.3¢ |
| Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez | 66.9¢ |
| Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez | 0.1¢ |
| Gloria Núñez Sánchez | 0.4¢ |
| Pavel Jarero Velázquez | 0.5¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nayarit on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Rogelio Díaz Brown | 0.2¢ |
| Ernesto Gándara Camou | 0.7¢ |
| Javier Lamarque Cano | 3.2¢ |
| Célida Teresa López Cárdenas | 0.2¢ |
| Heriberto Aguilar Castillo | 0.1¢ |
| Patricia Mercado Castro | 0.1¢ |
| Víctor Hugo Celaya | 0.2¢ |
| Omar del Valle Colosio | 0.2¢ |
| Froylán Gámez Gamboa | 0.2¢ |
| Lilly Téllez García | 0.4¢ |
| Natalia Rivera Grijalva | 1.1¢ |
| Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez | 8.2¢ |
| Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas | 16.0¢ |
| Lorenia Valles Sampedro | 67.0¢ |
| Manuel Scott Sánchez | 0.4¢ |
| María Dolores del Río Sánchez | 0.1¢ |
| Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez | 0.8¢ |
| Guadalupe María Soto | 0.1¢ |
| Damián Zepeda Vidales | 0.2¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 0.1¢ |
| Morena | 86.2¢ |
| PAN | 6.9¢ |
| PRI | 2.4¢ |
| PT | 0.1¢ |
| PVEM | 0.1¢ |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| MC | 3.6¢ |
| Morena | 3.5¢ |
| PAN | 73.0¢ |
| PRI | 18.1¢ |
| PT | 0.2¢ |
| PVEM | 4.5¢ |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Rocío Abreu Artiñano | 0.1¢ |
| Francisco Farías Bailón | 0.1¢ |
| Christian Castro Bello | 0.4¢ |
| Pablo Angulo Briceño | 0.3¢ |
| Emilio Lara Calderón | 0.1¢ |
| Martina Kantún Can | 0.1¢ |
| Dulce Dorantes Cervera | 0.1¢ |
| Ricardo Medina Farfán | 0.2¢ |
| Salvador Farías González | 0.2¢ |
| Rosario Cruz Hernández | 0.1¢ |
| Armando Toledo Jamit | 0.2¢ |
| Ariana Rejón Lara | 0.1¢ |
| Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus | 71.5¢ |
| Eliseo Fernández Montúfar | 9.7¢ |
| Paul Arce Ontiveros | 0.2¢ |
| Aníbal Ostoa Ortega | 0.5¢ |
| Daniel Barreda Pavón | 0.5¢ |
| Laura Baqueiro Ramos | 0.1¢ |
| Liz Hernández Romero | 0.2¢ |
| Gerardo Sánchez Sansores | 0.1¢ |
| Biby Rabelo de la Torre | 0.3¢ |
| Andrés Fernández del Valle | 0.1¢ |
| Yolanda Valladares Valle | 0.1¢ |
| Carlos Ucán Yam | 0.5¢ |
| Karla Guadalupe Toledo Zamora | 0.1¢ |
| Nelly Márquez Zapata | 0.2¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Campeche on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Gilberto Loya Chávez | 0.2¢ |
| Cruz Pérez Cuéllar | 48.5¢ |
| Alejandro Domínguez Domínguez | 0.3¢ |
| Jesús Valenciano García | 0.2¢ |
| Graciela Ortiz González | 0.2¢ |
| Santiago de la Peña Grajeda | 0.4¢ |
| Daniela Álvarez Hernández | 0.3¢ |
| Luis Carlos Arrieta Lavenant | 0.3¢ |
| Julián LeBarón | 0.1¢ |
| Marco Bonilla Mendoza | 34.5¢ |
| Martín Chaparro Payán | 0.7¢ |
| Rosana Díaz Reyes | 0.3¢ |
| Mario Vázquez Robles | 0.3¢ |
| Alfredo Lozoya Santillán | 0.2¢ |
| Andrea Chávez Treviño | 21.5¢ |
| Francisco Sánchez Villegas | 0.2¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Alejandro Bravo Abarca | 0.1¢ |
| Evodio Velázquez Aguirre | 0.1¢ |
| Javier Saldaña Almazán | 0.1¢ |
| Mario Moreno Arcos | 0.9¢ |
| Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros | 0.1¢ |
| Manuel Añorve Baños | 6.6¢ |
| Yesenia Galarza Castro | 0.1¢ |
| Eloy Salmerón Díaz | 0.1¢ |
| Iván Hernández Díaz | 0.1¢ |
| Guadalupe Eguiluz | 0.1¢ |
| Genaro Vázquez Flores | 0.1¢ |
| Héctor Astudillo Flores | 0.1¢ |
| Julián López Galeana | 0.1¢ |
| Rubén Cayetano García | 0.1¢ |
| Gustavo Alarcón Herrera | 0.1¢ |
| Erika Lorena Lührs | 0.1¢ |
| Félix Salgado Macedonio | 0.1¢ |
| Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez | 0.1¢ |
| Rogelio Ortega Martínez | 0.1¢ |
| Beatriz Mojica Morga | 88.3¢ |
| Esthela Damián Peralta | 2.3¢ |
| Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz | 0.1¢ |
| Abelina López Rodríguez | 0.1¢ |
| Alberto López Rosas | 0.1¢ |
| Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña | 0.1¢ |
| Carlos Reyes Torres | 0.1¢ |
| Karen Castrejón Trujillo | 0.1¢ |
| Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos | 0.1¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Ernesto Núñez Aguilar | 0.1¢ |
| Gabriela Molina Aguilar | 0.1¢ |
| Alfonso Martínez Alcázar | 6.2¢ |
| Germán Martínez Cázares | 0.1¢ |
| Leinad Abigail Rojas Elenes | 0.1¢ |
| Adriana Hernández Íñiguez | 0.1¢ |
| Netzahualcóyotl Alanís Luna | 0.1¢ |
| Gladyz Butanda Macías | 12.8¢ |
| Víctor Manuel Manríquez | 0.1¢ |
| Marko Cortés Mendoza | 0.1¢ |
| Edna Martínez Nambo | 0.1¢ |
| Esteban González Nava | 0.1¢ |
| Raúl Morón Orozco | 2.2¢ |
| Celeste Ascencio Ortega | 0.1¢ |
| Netzahualcóyotl Alarcón Pedraza | 0.1¢ |
| Carlos Torres Piña | 36.7¢ |
| Ana Lilia Guillén Quiroz | 0.1¢ |
| Grecia Quiroz | 15.1¢ |
| Guillermo Valencia Reyes | 0.1¢ |
| Fabiola Alanís Sámano | 0.5¢ |
| Daniela de los Santos | 0.1¢ |
| Carlos Herrera Tello | 0.1¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Fernando Margáin Berlanga | 0.4¢ |
| Raúl Lozano Caballero | 0.7¢ |
| Mariana Rodríguez Cantú | 29.8¢ |
| Annia Gómez Cárdenas | 0.1¢ |
| Clara Luz Flores Carrales | 11.6¢ |
| Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo | 5.3¢ |
| Félix Arratia Cruz | 3.3¢ |
| Judith Díaz Delgado | 0.9¢ |
| Jesús Alberto Elizondo | 4.2¢ |
| Alma Rosa Marroquín Escamilla | 5.0¢ |
| Carlos de la Fuente Flores | 2.4¢ |
| Héctor García García | 0.5¢ |
| Arturo Salinas Garza | 1.2¢ |
| Martha Herrera González | 2.1¢ |
| Waldo Fernández González | 17.2¢ |
| Andrés Mijes Llovera | 1.8¢ |
| Daniel Carrillo Martínez | 1.1¢ |
| Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas | 4.9¢ |
| Felipe de Jesús Cantú Rodríguez | 2.1¢ |
| Adrián de la Garza Santos | 26.0¢ |
| Miguel Flores Serna | 1.8¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Pedro José Flota Alcocer | 0.2¢ |
| Estefanía Mercado Asencio | 0.8¢ |
| Roberto Palazuelos Badeaux | 0.3¢ |
| Marybel Villegas Canché | 1.1¢ |
| Reyna Tamayo Carballo | 2.9¢ |
| Lidia Rojas Fabro | 0.4¢ |
| Amalia Castilla Madrid | 0.4¢ |
| David Ortiz Mena | 0.1¢ |
| Filiberto Martínez Méndez | 0.1¢ |
| Rafael Marín Mollinedo | 1.4¢ |
| Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña | 4.5¢ |
| Leslie Hendricks Rubio | 0.3¢ |
| Mayuli Martínez Simón | 0.2¢ |
| Alexa Murguía Trujillo | 0.4¢ |
| José Luis Pech Várguez | 0.8¢ |
| Eugenio Segura Vázquez | 80.5¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Quintana Roo on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Quintana Roo and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Tomás de Jesús López Bajo | 0.5¢ |
| Omar López Campos | 0.4¢ |
| Imelda Castro Castro | 79.5¢ |
| Estrella Palacios Domínguez | 0.3¢ |
| Sergio Torres Félix | 0.4¢ |
| Kristiam Alexis Espinoza García | 0.5¢ |
| Mario Zamora Gastélum | 12.6¢ |
| Eduardo Ortiz Hernández | 0.1¢ |
| Jesús Fernando García Hernández | 0.3¢ |
| Gerardo Octavio Vargas Landeros | 0.3¢ |
| Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil | 0.5¢ |
| Lucila Ayala de Moreschi | 0.4¢ |
| Graciela Domínguez Nava | 0.5¢ |
| María Teresa Guerra Ochoa | 2.9¢ |
| Ricardo Madrid Pérez | 0.5¢ |
| Jesús Alfonso Ibarra Ramos | 0.4¢ |
| Paloma Sánchez Ramos | 0.4¢ |
| María Fernanda Rivera | 0.1¢ |
| Guillermo Romero Rodríguez | 0.4¢ |
| Rodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez | 0.4¢ |
| Roxana Rubio Valdez | 0.4¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sinaloa on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
| Option | KKalshi |
|---|---|
| MC | 2.0¢ |
| Morena | 85.0¢ |
| PAN | 9.2¢ |
| PRI | 4.1¢ |
| PT | 2.0¢ |
| PVEM | 2.0¢ |
Only listed on Kalshi.
Official rule text (Kalshi lists one market per option with the same wording; shown here for the Morena market)
If the winner of the next Mexican Chamber of deputies election is Morena, then the market resolves to Yes. For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and does not report election results. Prices use the same method as the Midterms pages: Polymarket shows the market's displayed Yes price. Kalshi shows the midpoint of the highest Yes bid and the lowest Yes ask when they are within 8¢ of each other, and otherwise the highest Yes bid. Options with no Yes bid show —.
Available from 16 October 2026.
Available from 24 November 2026. Bid, ask, spread, order book depth and open interest for each option.
Available from 24 November 2026. Notes on large price moves, with the facts reported in the same period.
Available from 20 October 2026. One row per option, per day, Polymarket prices only (CSV).
Each platform resolves its market on the official result named in its own rules. The rule text is quoted on this page.
The two platforms have different rules for what counts as winning, different fees, different users and different amounts of money in each market.
Options listed on both Polymarket and Kalshi are compared side by side, in alphabetical order. Options listed on only one platform are shown separately, without a gap figure. The list follows the markets, not an official candidate list.
No. PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and keeps the last pre-election prices as a snapshot. It does not report election results.
Every 15 minutes until prices stop updating before the vote.