Prices for New South Wales Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place on Polymarket. A price of 41¢ means traders on that platform price the outcome at about 41%. It is a market price, not a forecast by PolyKal.
Independent research, not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Not trading advice. PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and does not report election results.
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Animal Justice | 8.5¢ |
| Greens | 14.5¢ |
| Labor | 3.6¢ |
| Legalise Cannabis | 15.5¢ |
| Liberal–National | 17.5¢ |
| Libertarian | 3.8¢ |
| One Nation | 33.0¢ |
| Shooters, Fishers, Farmers | 18.0¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
The 2027 New South Wales state election is currently scheduled to be held on 27 March 2027 to elect members of the 59th Parliament of New South Wales. This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the third-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (New South Wales' lower house) as a result of the next New South Wales state election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties. Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the New South Wales government, specifically the NSW Electoral Commission (NSWEC) (https://elections.nsw.gov.au/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Animal Justice | 4.5¢ |
| Greens | 3.6¢ |
| Labor | 58.5¢ |
| Legalise Cannabis | 4.3¢ |
| Liberal–National | 28.0¢ |
| Libertarian | 3.2¢ |
| One Nation | 6.2¢ |
| Shooters, Fishers, Farmers | 1.1¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
The 2027 New South Wales state election is currently scheduled to be held on March 27, 2027 to elect members of the 59th Parliament of New South Wales. This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition holds the most seats in the Legislative Council (New South Wales' upper house) following the next New South Wales state election, including both members elected at this election and continuing members whose terms do not expire at this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats held by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties. Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats held in the Legislative Council following the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received in the Legislative Council election, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the New South Wales government, specifically the NSW Electoral Commission (NSWEC) (https://elections.nsw.gov.au/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Greens | 8.5¢ |
| Labor | 26.0¢ |
| Liberal–National | 35.5¢ |
| One Nation | 33.0¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
The 2027 New South Wales state election is currently scheduled to be held on 27 March 2027 to elect members of the 59th Parliament of New South Wales. This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the second-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (New South Wales' lower house) as a result of the next New South Wales state election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties. Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the New South Wales government, specifically the NSW Electoral Commission (NSWEC) (https://elections.nsw.gov.au/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Prue Car | 3.9¢ |
| Alister Henskens | 0.5¢ |
| Rose Jackson | 14.1¢ |
| Chris Minns | 51.5¢ |
| Daniel Mookhey | 3.2¢ |
| Mike Newman | 4.0¢ |
| Ryan Park | 4.5¢ |
| Penny Sharpe | 3.3¢ |
| Gurmesh Singh | 2.1¢ |
| Kellie Sloane | 22.5¢ |
| Mark Speakman | 5.0¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
The 2027 New South Wales state election is currently scheduled to be held on 27 March 2027 to elect members of the 59th Parliament of New South Wales. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of New South Wales as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New South Wales; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Greens | 3.2¢ |
| Labor | 54.5¢ |
| Liberal–National | 31.0¢ |
| One Nation | 17.5¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
The 2027 New South Wales state election is currently scheduled to be held on 27 March 2027 to elect members of the 59th Parliament of New South Wales. This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the most seats in the Legislative Assembly (New South Wales' lower house) as a result of the next New South Wales state election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties. Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the New South Wales government, specifically the NSW Electoral Commission (NSWEC) (https://elections.nsw.gov.au/).
PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and does not report election results. Prices use the same method as the Midterms pages: Polymarket shows the market's displayed Yes price. Kalshi shows the midpoint of the highest Yes bid and the lowest Yes ask when they are within 8¢ of each other, and otherwise the highest Yes bid. Options with no Yes bid show —.
Available from 16 October 2026.
Available from 24 November 2026. Bid, ask, spread, order book depth and open interest for each option.
Available from 24 November 2026. Notes on large price moves, with the facts reported in the same period.
Available from 20 October 2026. One row per option, per day, Polymarket prices only (CSV).
Each platform resolves its market on the official result named in its own rules. The rule text is quoted on this page.
No. This election is only listed on Polymarket right now, so the page shows Polymarket prices and rules without a cross-platform comparison.
Every priced option in the market is listed in alphabetical order. The list follows the market, not an official candidate list.
No. PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and keeps the last pre-election prices as a snapshot. It does not report election results.
Every 15 minutes until prices stop updating before the vote.
Prices for New South Wales Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place on Polymarket. A price of 41¢ means traders on that platform price the outcome at about 41%. It is a market price, not a forecast by PolyKal.
Independent research, not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Not trading advice. PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and does not report election results.
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Animal Justice | 8.5¢ |
| Greens | 14.5¢ |
| Labor | 3.6¢ |
| Legalise Cannabis | 15.5¢ |
| Liberal–National | 17.5¢ |
| Libertarian | 3.8¢ |
| One Nation | 33.0¢ |
| Shooters, Fishers, Farmers | 18.0¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
The 2027 New South Wales state election is currently scheduled to be held on 27 March 2027 to elect members of the 59th Parliament of New South Wales. This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the third-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (New South Wales' lower house) as a result of the next New South Wales state election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties. Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the New South Wales government, specifically the NSW Electoral Commission (NSWEC) (https://elections.nsw.gov.au/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Animal Justice | 4.5¢ |
| Greens | 3.6¢ |
| Labor | 58.5¢ |
| Legalise Cannabis | 4.3¢ |
| Liberal–National | 28.0¢ |
| Libertarian | 3.2¢ |
| One Nation | 6.2¢ |
| Shooters, Fishers, Farmers | 1.1¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
The 2027 New South Wales state election is currently scheduled to be held on March 27, 2027 to elect members of the 59th Parliament of New South Wales. This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition holds the most seats in the Legislative Council (New South Wales' upper house) following the next New South Wales state election, including both members elected at this election and continuing members whose terms do not expire at this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats held by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties. Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats held in the Legislative Council following the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received in the Legislative Council election, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the New South Wales government, specifically the NSW Electoral Commission (NSWEC) (https://elections.nsw.gov.au/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Greens | 8.5¢ |
| Labor | 26.0¢ |
| Liberal–National | 35.5¢ |
| One Nation | 33.0¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
The 2027 New South Wales state election is currently scheduled to be held on 27 March 2027 to elect members of the 59th Parliament of New South Wales. This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the second-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (New South Wales' lower house) as a result of the next New South Wales state election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties. Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the New South Wales government, specifically the NSW Electoral Commission (NSWEC) (https://elections.nsw.gov.au/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Prue Car | 3.9¢ |
| Alister Henskens | 0.5¢ |
| Rose Jackson | 14.1¢ |
| Chris Minns | 51.5¢ |
| Daniel Mookhey | 3.2¢ |
| Mike Newman | 4.0¢ |
| Ryan Park | 4.5¢ |
| Penny Sharpe | 3.3¢ |
| Gurmesh Singh | 2.1¢ |
| Kellie Sloane | 22.5¢ |
| Mark Speakman | 5.0¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
The 2027 New South Wales state election is currently scheduled to be held on 27 March 2027 to elect members of the 59th Parliament of New South Wales. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of New South Wales as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New South Wales; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Greens | 3.2¢ |
| Labor | 54.5¢ |
| Liberal–National | 31.0¢ |
| One Nation | 17.5¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
The 2027 New South Wales state election is currently scheduled to be held on 27 March 2027 to elect members of the 59th Parliament of New South Wales. This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the most seats in the Legislative Assembly (New South Wales' lower house) as a result of the next New South Wales state election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties. Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the New South Wales government, specifically the NSW Electoral Commission (NSWEC) (https://elections.nsw.gov.au/).
PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and does not report election results. Prices use the same method as the Midterms pages: Polymarket shows the market's displayed Yes price. Kalshi shows the midpoint of the highest Yes bid and the lowest Yes ask when they are within 8¢ of each other, and otherwise the highest Yes bid. Options with no Yes bid show —.
Available from 16 October 2026.
Available from 24 November 2026. Bid, ask, spread, order book depth and open interest for each option.
Available from 24 November 2026. Notes on large price moves, with the facts reported in the same period.
Available from 20 October 2026. One row per option, per day, Polymarket prices only (CSV).
Each platform resolves its market on the official result named in its own rules. The rule text is quoted on this page.
No. This election is only listed on Polymarket right now, so the page shows Polymarket prices and rules without a cross-platform comparison.
Every priced option in the market is listed in alphabetical order. The list follows the market, not an official candidate list.
No. PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and keeps the last pre-election prices as a snapshot. It does not report election results.
Every 15 minutes until prices stop updating before the vote.