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Serbia Presidential Election: Polymarket vs Kalshi Prices

Prices for Serbia Presidential Election on Polymarket and Kalshi, side by side. A price of 41¢ means traders on that platform price the outcome at about 41%. It is a market price, not a forecast by PolyKal.

Live · updated every 15 minutesElection day: Not yet confirmed · Data as of 2026-10-13 02:17 UTC · Prices stop updating at 2026-12-26 00:00 UTC

Independent research, not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Not trading advice. PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and does not report election results.

Next Serbia Presidential Election Winner

Kalshi lists this as: Next Serbian presidential election winner?

The two platforms list different options for this question, so there is no side-by-side comparison.

Also listed on one platform (20)
OptionPlatformPrice
Miroslav AleksićPolymarket0.5¢
Ana BrnabićPolymarket20.5¢
SNS-backed candidateKalshi53.0¢
Student-backed candidateKalshi46.5¢
Ivica DačićPolymarket7.9¢
Dragan ĐilasPolymarket0.1¢
Miloš JovanovićPolymarket0.4¢
Đuro MacutPolymarket8.5¢
Savo ManojlovićPolymarket0.4¢
Srđan MilivojevićPolymarket0.5¢
Branimir NestorovićPolymarket0.2¢
Vladan ĐokićPolymarket16.5¢
Biljana ĐorđevićPolymarket0.1¢
Miloš ParandilovićPolymarket0.5¢
Vladan PetrovPolymarket6.0¢
Zdravko PonošPolymarket0.9¢
Vojislav ŠešeljPolymarket0.1¢
Miloš VučevićPolymarket35.4¢
Aleksandar VučićPolymarket0.1¢
OtherPolymarket—

Listed on one platform only, so no gap is shown.

How this market resolves
PPolymarket

Official rule text

The next Serbian presidential election is currently expected to be held by May 1, 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next Serbian presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins the next Serbian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results of the election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Serbian government, specifically the Statistical Office of the Republic of Serbia (https://www.stat.gov.rs/).

KKalshi

Official rule text (Kalshi lists one market per option with the same wording; shown here for the SNS-backed candidate market)

If SNS-backed candidate wins the next Serbian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. SNS-backed candidate: Any presidential candidate nominated or formally endorsed by the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) before the Republic Electoral Commission's candidate-nomination deadline for the first round. Student-backed candidate: Any presidential candidate nominated or formally endorsed, before that deadline, by the proposer of the student-designated electoral list in the October 25, 2026 parliamentary election, provided that candidate is not also nominated or endorsed by SNS. If the winner is neither an SNS-backed candidate nor a Student-backed candidate, both markets resolve No. For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office, is the winner. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and does not report election results. Prices use the same method as the Midterms pages: Polymarket shows the market's displayed Yes price. Kalshi shows the midpoint of the highest Yes bid and the lowest Yes ask when they are within 8¢ of each other, and otherwise the highest Yes bid. Options with no Yes bid show —.

Price history (30 days)

Available from 16 October 2026.

Market data

Available from 24 November 2026. Bid, ask, spread, order book depth and open interest for each option.

Price moves

Available from 24 November 2026. Notes on large price moves, with the facts reported in the same period.

Daily history download

Available from 20 October 2026. One row per option, per day, Polymarket prices only (CSV).

FAQ

What do these markets resolve on?

Each platform resolves its market on the official result named in its own rules. The rule text is quoted on this page.

Why are the prices different on Polymarket and Kalshi?

The two platforms have different rules for what counts as winning, different fees, different users and different amounts of money in each market.

Which candidates or parties are shown?

Options listed on both Polymarket and Kalshi are compared side by side, in alphabetical order. Options listed on only one platform are shown separately, without a gap figure. The list follows the markets, not an official candidate list.

Will this page show the election result?

No. PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and keeps the last pre-election prices as a snapshot. It does not report election results.

How often is the data updated?

Every 15 minutes until prices stop updating before the vote.

All election markets →Serbia elections →Methodology →Fee calculator →
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Elections
Serbia Presidential Election: Polymarket vs Kalshi Prices

Prices for Serbia Presidential Election on Polymarket and Kalshi, side by side. A price of 41¢ means traders on that platform price the outcome at about 41%. It is a market price, not a forecast by PolyKal.

Live · updated every 15 minutesElection day: Not yet confirmed · Data as of 2026-10-13 02:17 UTC · Prices stop updating at 2026-12-26 00:00 UTC

Independent research, not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Not trading advice. PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and does not report election results.

Next Serbia Presidential Election Winner

Kalshi lists this as: Next Serbian presidential election winner?

The two platforms list different options for this question, so there is no side-by-side comparison.

Also listed on one platform (20)
OptionPlatformPrice
Miroslav AleksićPolymarket0.5¢
Ana BrnabićPolymarket20.5¢
SNS-backed candidateKalshi53.0¢
Student-backed candidateKalshi46.5¢
Ivica DačićPolymarket7.9¢
Dragan ĐilasPolymarket0.1¢
Miloš JovanovićPolymarket0.4¢
Đuro MacutPolymarket8.5¢
Savo ManojlovićPolymarket0.4¢
Srđan MilivojevićPolymarket0.5¢
Branimir NestorovićPolymarket0.2¢
Vladan ĐokićPolymarket16.5¢
Biljana ĐorđevićPolymarket0.1¢
Miloš ParandilovićPolymarket0.5¢
Vladan PetrovPolymarket6.0¢
Zdravko PonošPolymarket0.9¢
Vojislav ŠešeljPolymarket0.1¢
Miloš VučevićPolymarket35.4¢
Aleksandar VučićPolymarket0.1¢
OtherPolymarket—

Listed on one platform only, so no gap is shown.

How this market resolves
PPolymarket

Official rule text

The next Serbian presidential election is currently expected to be held by May 1, 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next Serbian presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins the next Serbian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results of the election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Serbian government, specifically the Statistical Office of the Republic of Serbia (https://www.stat.gov.rs/).

KKalshi

Official rule text (Kalshi lists one market per option with the same wording; shown here for the SNS-backed candidate market)

If SNS-backed candidate wins the next Serbian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. SNS-backed candidate: Any presidential candidate nominated or formally endorsed by the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) before the Republic Electoral Commission's candidate-nomination deadline for the first round. Student-backed candidate: Any presidential candidate nominated or formally endorsed, before that deadline, by the proposer of the student-designated electoral list in the October 25, 2026 parliamentary election, provided that candidate is not also nominated or endorsed by SNS. If the winner is neither an SNS-backed candidate nor a Student-backed candidate, both markets resolve No. For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office, is the winner. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and does not report election results. Prices use the same method as the Midterms pages: Polymarket shows the market's displayed Yes price. Kalshi shows the midpoint of the highest Yes bid and the lowest Yes ask when they are within 8¢ of each other, and otherwise the highest Yes bid. Options with no Yes bid show —.

Price history (30 days)

Available from 16 October 2026.

Market data

Available from 24 November 2026. Bid, ask, spread, order book depth and open interest for each option.

Price moves

Available from 24 November 2026. Notes on large price moves, with the facts reported in the same period.

Daily history download

Available from 20 October 2026. One row per option, per day, Polymarket prices only (CSV).

FAQ

What do these markets resolve on?

Each platform resolves its market on the official result named in its own rules. The rule text is quoted on this page.

Why are the prices different on Polymarket and Kalshi?

The two platforms have different rules for what counts as winning, different fees, different users and different amounts of money in each market.

Which candidates or parties are shown?

Options listed on both Polymarket and Kalshi are compared side by side, in alphabetical order. Options listed on only one platform are shown separately, without a gap figure. The list follows the markets, not an official candidate list.

Will this page show the election result?

No. PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and keeps the last pre-election prices as a snapshot. It does not report election results.

How often is the data updated?

Every 15 minutes until prices stop updating before the vote.

All election markets →Serbia elections →Methodology →Fee calculator →
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Data is based on publicly visible on-chain and trading activity across platforms. For research reference only — not investment advice. Past performance does not indicate future results.