Prices for Lithuania Northern Nalšia By-Election 2026 on Polymarket. A price of 41¢ means traders on that platform price the outcome at about 41%. It is a market price, not a forecast by PolyKal.
Independent research, not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Not trading advice. PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and does not report election results.
| Election day | 8 November 2026 (by-election, Nalšia North single-member constituency) Source: LRT ↗ |
|---|
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Ignotas Adomavičius | 13.0¢ |
| Giedrius Dainys | 4.6¢ |
| Gintautas Kindurys | 42.0¢ |
| Vladislav Kondratovič | 19.0¢ |
| Nikolajus Lebedevičius | 3.7¢ |
| Mėta Palauskaitė | 5.8¢ |
| Maksimas Paukštė | 4.0¢ |
| Antanas Šakalis | 12.6¢ |
| Andrej Šildiajėv | 1.7¢ |
| Dalia Štraupaitė | 12.5¢ |
| Viktor Voronin | 3.1¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
An early election for a member of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania in the single-member Northern Nalšia constituency (No. 52) is scheduled to take place on November 8, 2026. The by-election was triggered by the death of the incumbent member, Jevgenij Šuklin, on May 28, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency. If no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).
PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and does not report election results. Prices use the same method as the Midterms pages: Polymarket shows the market's displayed Yes price. Kalshi shows the midpoint of the highest Yes bid and the lowest Yes ask when they are within 8¢ of each other, and otherwise the highest Yes bid. Options with no Yes bid show —.
Available from 16 October 2026.
Available from 24 November 2026. Bid, ask, spread, order book depth and open interest for each option.
Available from 24 November 2026. Notes on large price moves, with the facts reported in the same period.
Available from 20 October 2026. One row per option, per day, Polymarket prices only (CSV).
Each platform resolves its market on the official result named in its own rules. The rule text is quoted on this page.
No. This election is only listed on Polymarket right now, so the page shows Polymarket prices and rules without a cross-platform comparison.
Every priced option in the market is listed in alphabetical order. The list follows the market, not an official candidate list.
No. PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and keeps the last pre-election prices as a snapshot. It does not report election results.
Every 15 minutes until prices stop updating before the vote.
Prices for Lithuania Northern Nalšia By-Election 2026 on Polymarket. A price of 41¢ means traders on that platform price the outcome at about 41%. It is a market price, not a forecast by PolyKal.
Independent research, not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Not trading advice. PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and does not report election results.
| Election day | 8 November 2026 (by-election, Nalšia North single-member constituency) Source: LRT ↗ |
|---|
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Ignotas Adomavičius | 13.0¢ |
| Giedrius Dainys | 4.6¢ |
| Gintautas Kindurys | 42.0¢ |
| Vladislav Kondratovič | 19.0¢ |
| Nikolajus Lebedevičius | 3.7¢ |
| Mėta Palauskaitė | 5.8¢ |
| Maksimas Paukštė | 4.0¢ |
| Antanas Šakalis | 12.6¢ |
| Andrej Šildiajėv | 1.7¢ |
| Dalia Štraupaitė | 12.5¢ |
| Viktor Voronin | 3.1¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
An early election for a member of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania in the single-member Northern Nalšia constituency (No. 52) is scheduled to take place on November 8, 2026. The by-election was triggered by the death of the incumbent member, Jevgenij Šuklin, on May 28, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency. If no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).
PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and does not report election results. Prices use the same method as the Midterms pages: Polymarket shows the market's displayed Yes price. Kalshi shows the midpoint of the highest Yes bid and the lowest Yes ask when they are within 8¢ of each other, and otherwise the highest Yes bid. Options with no Yes bid show —.
Available from 16 October 2026.
Available from 24 November 2026. Bid, ask, spread, order book depth and open interest for each option.
Available from 24 November 2026. Notes on large price moves, with the facts reported in the same period.
Available from 20 October 2026. One row per option, per day, Polymarket prices only (CSV).
Each platform resolves its market on the official result named in its own rules. The rule text is quoted on this page.
No. This election is only listed on Polymarket right now, so the page shows Polymarket prices and rules without a cross-platform comparison.
Every priced option in the market is listed in alphabetical order. The list follows the market, not an official candidate list.
No. PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and keeps the last pre-election prices as a snapshot. It does not report election results.
Every 15 minutes until prices stop updating before the vote.