Prices for Taiwan Local Elections 2026 on Polymarket and Kalshi, side by side. A price of 41¢ means traders on that platform price the outcome at about 41%. It is a market price, not a forecast by PolyKal.
Independent research, not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Not trading advice. PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and does not report election results.
| Election day | 28 November 2026 (Saturday) Source: Focus Taiwan (Central Election Commission announcement) ↗ |
|---|---|
| Offices | City mayors, county magistrates, councillors and other local offices (the "nine-in-one" elections) Source: Focus Taiwan (Central Election Commission announcement) ↗ |
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Kuo Hsi | 0.1¢ |
| Puma Shen | 33.2¢ |
| Chiang Wan-an | 67.5¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Kalshi lists this as: Taiwan Local Elections winner?
The two platforms list different options for this question, so there is no side-by-side comparison.
| Option | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Progressive Party | Kalshi | 3.0¢ |
| Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) | Polymarket | 17.0¢ |
| Kuomintang | Kalshi | 78.5¢ |
| Kuomintang (KMT) | Polymarket | 82.0¢ |
| Taiwan People’s Party | Polymarket | — |
| Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) | Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
Listed on one platform only, so no gap is shown.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (mayor or magistrate) elections for Taiwan’s major special municipalities, counties, and cities during these elections. A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party. Taiwan’s local governments include the following cities, special municipalities, and counties: Cities/special municipalities (mayoral elections): Taipei City, New Taipei City, Taoyuan City, Taichung City, Tainan City, Kaohsiung City, Keelung City, Hsinchu City, Chiayi City Counties (magistrate elections): Yilan County, Hsinchu County, Miaoli County, Changhua County, Nantou County, Yunlin County, Chiayi County, Pingtung County, Taitung County, Hualien County, Penghu County, Lienchiang County, Kinmen County Only elections for the listed cities, special municipalities or counties will be counted for this market. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections. In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of relevant head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections aren’t known by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Official rule text (Kalshi lists one market per option with the same wording; shown here for the Kuomintang market)
If the Kuomintang wins the most mayoral and magistrate races in Taiwan’s 2026 local elections, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Su Chiao-hui | 47.0¢ |
| Huang Kuo-chang | 0.1¢ |
| Lee Shu-chuan | 53.5¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Hsu Chih-chieh | 0.1¢ |
| Ko Chih-en | 22.7¢ |
| Chang Ching | 0.1¢ |
| Lai Jui-lung | 77.5¢ |
| Lin Tai-hua | 0.1¢ |
| Chiu Yi-ying | 0.1¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
| Option | KKalshi |
|---|---|
| Shen Bo-yang | 36.5¢ |
| Lin Chih-cheng | — |
| Kuo Hsi | — |
| Tang Hsin-min | — |
| Chiang Wan-an | 64.5¢ |
| Hsiao Wen-kan | — |
Only listed on Kalshi.
Official rule text (Kalshi lists one market per option with the same wording; shown here for the Chiang Wan-an market)
If Chiang Wan-an wins the 2026 Taipei mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Johnny Chiang | 75.0¢ |
| Yang Chiung-ying | 0.4¢ |
| Ho Hsin-chun | 25.8¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taichung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Cheng Chao-fang | 67.5¢ |
| Chen Chien-hsien | 0.2¢ |
| Hsu Hsin-ying | 32.0¢ |
| Lin Szu-ming | 0.2¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
| Option | KKalshi |
|---|---|
| Su Chiao-hui | 51.5¢ |
| Lee Shu-chuan | 50.0¢ |
Only listed on Kalshi.
Official rule text (Kalshi lists one market per option with the same wording; shown here for the Lee Shu-chuan market)
If Lee Shu-chuan wins the 2026 New Taipei mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Wang Chung-ming | 75.5¢ |
| Tsao Erh-chang | 0.1¢ |
| Tsao Erh-yuan | 19.9¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
| Option | KKalshi |
|---|---|
| Ko Chih-en | 21.5¢ |
| Zhang Jing | 3.5¢ |
| Lai Jui-lung | 76.5¢ |
Only listed on Kalshi.
Official rule text (Kalshi lists one market per option with the same wording; shown here for the Ko Chih-en market)
If Ko Chih-en wins the 2026 Kaohsiung mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Lin Chun-hsien | 0.5¢ |
| Hsieh Lung-chieh | 5.1¢ |
| Chen Ting-fei | 83.0¢ |
| Lin Yi-feng | 2.6¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Ho Chih-yung | 2.1¢ |
| Chuang Ching-cheng | 10.4¢ |
| Ann Kao | 87.5¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Hsinchu City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Hsieh Kuo-liang | 76.0¢ |
| Tung Tzu-wei | 22.5¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Chang San-cheng | 92.5¢ |
| Perng Shaw-jiin | 0.1¢ |
| Huang Shih-chieh | 5.1¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Chiu Chien-fu | 0.1¢ |
| Huang Hsiu-fang | 0.4¢ |
| Hung Jung-chang | 0.1¢ |
| Wei Ping-cheng | 9.0¢ |
| Lin Shih-hsien | 0.1¢ |
| Chen Su-yueh | 92.0¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Chang Chi-kai | 24.5¢ |
| Chen Chia-ping | 2.2¢ |
| Huang Hung-cheng | 1.3¢ |
| Chen Kai-huang | 0.2¢ |
| Wang Mei-hui | 75.0¢ |
| Weng Shou-liang | 1.6¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Wu Pin-jui | 8.5¢ |
| Tsai Sung-yi | 0.7¢ |
| Tsai Yi-yu | 91.0¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Wei Chia-hsien | 12.5¢ |
| Chang Chun | 4.3¢ |
| Lo Pei-chin | 1.0¢ |
| Yu Shu-chen | 83.0¢ |
| Yeh Yao-hui | 3.5¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Yang Cheng-wu | 0.3¢ |
| Li Wen-liang | 3.5¢ |
| Liang Wen-tao | 2.9¢ |
| Chen Yu-jen | 95.0¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Chen Pin-an | 2.9¢ |
| Chung Tung-chin | 96.4¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Wen Shih-cheng | 3.4¢ |
| Hsu Shu-hua | 95.8¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Nantou County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Chen Chen-chung | 65.0¢ |
| Hsu Chih-fu | 0.2¢ |
| Chen Chin-chuan | 0.6¢ |
| Yeh Chu-lin | 7.6¢ |
| Chou Ni-an | 5.5¢ |
| Wu Shu-chin | 23.5¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Su Ching-chuan | 12.0¢ |
| Chou Chun-mi | 82.0¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Wu Hsiu-hua | 75.5¢ |
| Chen Ying | 25.2¢ |
| Li Wu Ying-chih | 0.1¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Lin Kuo-chang | 68.5¢ |
| Chang Sheng-te | 0.9¢ |
| Wu Tsung-hsien | 31.5¢ |
| Chen Wan-hui | 1.1¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Chang Chia-chun | 79.5¢ |
| Liu Chien-kuo | 17.5¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and does not report election results. Prices use the same method as the Midterms pages: Polymarket shows the market's displayed Yes price. Kalshi shows the midpoint of the highest Yes bid and the lowest Yes ask when they are within 8¢ of each other, and otherwise the highest Yes bid. Options with no Yes bid show —.
Available from 16 October 2026.
Available from 24 November 2026. Bid, ask, spread, order book depth and open interest for each option.
Available from 24 November 2026. Notes on large price moves, with the facts reported in the same period.
Available from 20 October 2026. One row per option, per day, Polymarket prices only (CSV).
Each platform resolves its market on the official result named in its own rules. The rule text is quoted on this page.
The two platforms have different rules for what counts as winning, different fees, different users and different amounts of money in each market.
Options listed on both Polymarket and Kalshi are compared side by side, in alphabetical order. Options listed on only one platform are shown separately, without a gap figure. The list follows the markets, not an official candidate list.
No. PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and keeps the last pre-election prices as a snapshot. It does not report election results.
Every 15 minutes until prices stop updating before the vote.
Prices for Taiwan Local Elections 2026 on Polymarket and Kalshi, side by side. A price of 41¢ means traders on that platform price the outcome at about 41%. It is a market price, not a forecast by PolyKal.
Independent research, not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Not trading advice. PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and does not report election results.
| Election day | 28 November 2026 (Saturday) Source: Focus Taiwan (Central Election Commission announcement) ↗ |
|---|---|
| Offices | City mayors, county magistrates, councillors and other local offices (the "nine-in-one" elections) Source: Focus Taiwan (Central Election Commission announcement) ↗ |
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Kuo Hsi | 0.1¢ |
| Puma Shen | 33.2¢ |
| Chiang Wan-an | 67.5¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Kalshi lists this as: Taiwan Local Elections winner?
The two platforms list different options for this question, so there is no side-by-side comparison.
| Option | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Progressive Party | Kalshi | 3.0¢ |
| Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) | Polymarket | 17.0¢ |
| Kuomintang | Kalshi | 78.5¢ |
| Kuomintang (KMT) | Polymarket | 82.0¢ |
| Taiwan People’s Party | Polymarket | — |
| Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) | Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
Listed on one platform only, so no gap is shown.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (mayor or magistrate) elections for Taiwan’s major special municipalities, counties, and cities during these elections. A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party. Taiwan’s local governments include the following cities, special municipalities, and counties: Cities/special municipalities (mayoral elections): Taipei City, New Taipei City, Taoyuan City, Taichung City, Tainan City, Kaohsiung City, Keelung City, Hsinchu City, Chiayi City Counties (magistrate elections): Yilan County, Hsinchu County, Miaoli County, Changhua County, Nantou County, Yunlin County, Chiayi County, Pingtung County, Taitung County, Hualien County, Penghu County, Lienchiang County, Kinmen County Only elections for the listed cities, special municipalities or counties will be counted for this market. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections. In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of relevant head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections aren’t known by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Official rule text (Kalshi lists one market per option with the same wording; shown here for the Kuomintang market)
If the Kuomintang wins the most mayoral and magistrate races in Taiwan’s 2026 local elections, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Su Chiao-hui | 47.0¢ |
| Huang Kuo-chang | 0.1¢ |
| Lee Shu-chuan | 53.5¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Hsu Chih-chieh | 0.1¢ |
| Ko Chih-en | 22.7¢ |
| Chang Ching | 0.1¢ |
| Lai Jui-lung | 77.5¢ |
| Lin Tai-hua | 0.1¢ |
| Chiu Yi-ying | 0.1¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
| Option | KKalshi |
|---|---|
| Shen Bo-yang | 36.5¢ |
| Lin Chih-cheng | — |
| Kuo Hsi | — |
| Tang Hsin-min | — |
| Chiang Wan-an | 64.5¢ |
| Hsiao Wen-kan | — |
Only listed on Kalshi.
Official rule text (Kalshi lists one market per option with the same wording; shown here for the Chiang Wan-an market)
If Chiang Wan-an wins the 2026 Taipei mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Johnny Chiang | 75.0¢ |
| Yang Chiung-ying | 0.4¢ |
| Ho Hsin-chun | 25.8¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taichung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Cheng Chao-fang | 67.5¢ |
| Chen Chien-hsien | 0.2¢ |
| Hsu Hsin-ying | 32.0¢ |
| Lin Szu-ming | 0.2¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
| Option | KKalshi |
|---|---|
| Su Chiao-hui | 51.5¢ |
| Lee Shu-chuan | 50.0¢ |
Only listed on Kalshi.
Official rule text (Kalshi lists one market per option with the same wording; shown here for the Lee Shu-chuan market)
If Lee Shu-chuan wins the 2026 New Taipei mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Wang Chung-ming | 75.5¢ |
| Tsao Erh-chang | 0.1¢ |
| Tsao Erh-yuan | 19.9¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
| Option | KKalshi |
|---|---|
| Ko Chih-en | 21.5¢ |
| Zhang Jing | 3.5¢ |
| Lai Jui-lung | 76.5¢ |
Only listed on Kalshi.
Official rule text (Kalshi lists one market per option with the same wording; shown here for the Ko Chih-en market)
If Ko Chih-en wins the 2026 Kaohsiung mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Lin Chun-hsien | 0.5¢ |
| Hsieh Lung-chieh | 5.1¢ |
| Chen Ting-fei | 83.0¢ |
| Lin Yi-feng | 2.6¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Ho Chih-yung | 2.1¢ |
| Chuang Ching-cheng | 10.4¢ |
| Ann Kao | 87.5¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Hsinchu City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Hsieh Kuo-liang | 76.0¢ |
| Tung Tzu-wei | 22.5¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Chang San-cheng | 92.5¢ |
| Perng Shaw-jiin | 0.1¢ |
| Huang Shih-chieh | 5.1¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Chiu Chien-fu | 0.1¢ |
| Huang Hsiu-fang | 0.4¢ |
| Hung Jung-chang | 0.1¢ |
| Wei Ping-cheng | 9.0¢ |
| Lin Shih-hsien | 0.1¢ |
| Chen Su-yueh | 92.0¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Chang Chi-kai | 24.5¢ |
| Chen Chia-ping | 2.2¢ |
| Huang Hung-cheng | 1.3¢ |
| Chen Kai-huang | 0.2¢ |
| Wang Mei-hui | 75.0¢ |
| Weng Shou-liang | 1.6¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Wu Pin-jui | 8.5¢ |
| Tsai Sung-yi | 0.7¢ |
| Tsai Yi-yu | 91.0¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Wei Chia-hsien | 12.5¢ |
| Chang Chun | 4.3¢ |
| Lo Pei-chin | 1.0¢ |
| Yu Shu-chen | 83.0¢ |
| Yeh Yao-hui | 3.5¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Yang Cheng-wu | 0.3¢ |
| Li Wen-liang | 3.5¢ |
| Liang Wen-tao | 2.9¢ |
| Chen Yu-jen | 95.0¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Chen Pin-an | 2.9¢ |
| Chung Tung-chin | 96.4¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Wen Shih-cheng | 3.4¢ |
| Hsu Shu-hua | 95.8¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Nantou County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Chen Chen-chung | 65.0¢ |
| Hsu Chih-fu | 0.2¢ |
| Chen Chin-chuan | 0.6¢ |
| Yeh Chu-lin | 7.6¢ |
| Chou Ni-an | 5.5¢ |
| Wu Shu-chin | 23.5¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Su Ching-chuan | 12.0¢ |
| Chou Chun-mi | 82.0¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Wu Hsiu-hua | 75.5¢ |
| Chen Ying | 25.2¢ |
| Li Wu Ying-chih | 0.1¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Lin Kuo-chang | 68.5¢ |
| Chang Sheng-te | 0.9¢ |
| Wu Tsung-hsien | 31.5¢ |
| Chen Wan-hui | 1.1¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
| Option | PPolymarket |
|---|---|
| Chang Chia-chun | 79.5¢ |
| Liu Chien-kuo | 17.5¢ |
| Other | — |
Only listed on Polymarket.
Official rule text
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and does not report election results. Prices use the same method as the Midterms pages: Polymarket shows the market's displayed Yes price. Kalshi shows the midpoint of the highest Yes bid and the lowest Yes ask when they are within 8¢ of each other, and otherwise the highest Yes bid. Options with no Yes bid show —.
Available from 16 October 2026.
Available from 24 November 2026. Bid, ask, spread, order book depth and open interest for each option.
Available from 24 November 2026. Notes on large price moves, with the facts reported in the same period.
Available from 20 October 2026. One row per option, per day, Polymarket prices only (CSV).
Each platform resolves its market on the official result named in its own rules. The rule text is quoted on this page.
The two platforms have different rules for what counts as winning, different fees, different users and different amounts of money in each market.
Options listed on both Polymarket and Kalshi are compared side by side, in alphabetical order. Options listed on only one platform are shown separately, without a gap figure. The list follows the markets, not an official candidate list.
No. PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and keeps the last pre-election prices as a snapshot. It does not report election results.
Every 15 minutes until prices stop updating before the vote.