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India Next Prime Minister: Kalshi Prices and Market Rules

Prices for India Next Prime Minister on Kalshi. A price of 41¢ means traders on that platform price the outcome at about 41%. It is a market price, not a forecast by PolyKal.

Live · updated every 15 minutesElection day: Not yet confirmed · Data as of 2026-10-13 02:17 UTC · Prices stop updating at 2029-04-29 00:00 UTC

Independent research, not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Not trading advice. PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and does not report election results.

Who will become Prime Minister of India after next general election?

OptionKKalshi
Yogi Adityanath18.0¢
Devendra Fadnavis—
Nitin Gadkari3.0¢
Rahul Gandhi30.5¢
Narendra Modi41.0¢
N. Chandrababu Naidu3.0¢
Amit Shah3.0¢
Priyanka Gandhi Vadra3.0¢
Akhilesh Yadav—

Only listed on Kalshi.

How this market resolves
KKalshi

Official rule text (Kalshi lists one market per option with the same wording; shown here for the Narendra Modi market)

If Narendra Modi becomes Prime Minister of India as a result of government formation following the next Indian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Apr 30, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government). If no government forms by Apr 30, 2030, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.

PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and does not report election results. Prices use the same method as the Midterms pages: Polymarket shows the market's displayed Yes price. Kalshi shows the midpoint of the highest Yes bid and the lowest Yes ask when they are within 8¢ of each other, and otherwise the highest Yes bid. Options with no Yes bid show —.

Price history (30 days)

Available from 16 October 2026.

Market data

Available from 24 November 2026. Bid, ask, spread, order book depth and open interest for each option.

Price moves

Available from 24 November 2026. Notes on large price moves, with the facts reported in the same period.

Daily history download

Available from 20 October 2026. One row per option, per day, Polymarket prices only (CSV).

FAQ

What do these markets resolve on?

Each platform resolves its market on the official result named in its own rules. The rule text is quoted on this page.

Is this market listed on both Polymarket and Kalshi?

No. This election is only listed on Kalshi right now, so the page shows Kalshi prices and rules without a cross-platform comparison.

Which candidates or parties are shown?

Every priced option in the market is listed in alphabetical order. The list follows the market, not an official candidate list.

Will this page show the election result?

No. PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and keeps the last pre-election prices as a snapshot. It does not report election results.

How often is the data updated?

Every 15 minutes until prices stop updating before the vote.

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Elections
India Next Prime Minister: Kalshi Prices and Market Rules

Prices for India Next Prime Minister on Kalshi. A price of 41¢ means traders on that platform price the outcome at about 41%. It is a market price, not a forecast by PolyKal.

Live · updated every 15 minutesElection day: Not yet confirmed · Data as of 2026-10-13 02:17 UTC · Prices stop updating at 2029-04-29 00:00 UTC

Independent research, not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Not trading advice. PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and does not report election results.

Who will become Prime Minister of India after next general election?

OptionKKalshi
Yogi Adityanath18.0¢
Devendra Fadnavis—
Nitin Gadkari3.0¢
Rahul Gandhi30.5¢
Narendra Modi41.0¢
N. Chandrababu Naidu3.0¢
Amit Shah3.0¢
Priyanka Gandhi Vadra3.0¢
Akhilesh Yadav—

Only listed on Kalshi.

How this market resolves
KKalshi

Official rule text (Kalshi lists one market per option with the same wording; shown here for the Narendra Modi market)

If Narendra Modi becomes Prime Minister of India as a result of government formation following the next Indian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Apr 30, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government). If no government forms by Apr 30, 2030, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.

PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and does not report election results. Prices use the same method as the Midterms pages: Polymarket shows the market's displayed Yes price. Kalshi shows the midpoint of the highest Yes bid and the lowest Yes ask when they are within 8¢ of each other, and otherwise the highest Yes bid. Options with no Yes bid show —.

Price history (30 days)

Available from 16 October 2026.

Market data

Available from 24 November 2026. Bid, ask, spread, order book depth and open interest for each option.

Price moves

Available from 24 November 2026. Notes on large price moves, with the facts reported in the same period.

Daily history download

Available from 20 October 2026. One row per option, per day, Polymarket prices only (CSV).

FAQ

What do these markets resolve on?

Each platform resolves its market on the official result named in its own rules. The rule text is quoted on this page.

Is this market listed on both Polymarket and Kalshi?

No. This election is only listed on Kalshi right now, so the page shows Kalshi prices and rules without a cross-platform comparison.

Which candidates or parties are shown?

Every priced option in the market is listed in alphabetical order. The list follows the market, not an official candidate list.

Will this page show the election result?

No. PolyKal stops updating prices before the first polls open and keeps the last pre-election prices as a snapshot. It does not report election results.

How often is the data updated?

Every 15 minutes until prices stop updating before the vote.

All election markets →India elections →Methodology →Fee calculator →
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Data is based on publicly visible on-chain and trading activity across platforms. For research reference only — not investment advice. Past performance does not indicate future results.